Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,160.

Categories: Games, Fifa Friendly, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading favorite

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% historical win rate and $324k profit is fading Mexico by selling Yes at 90¢, equivalent to buying No at 10¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $324k lifetime.
They have traded across 197 events with the same strong 83% hit rate.
Selling Mexico at 90¢ is effectively a 10¢ bet that Mexico does not win.

$2,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Elite serial trader fades favorite

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate and positive lifetime P&L exited Mexico Yes, effectively taking the No side against a heavy favorite.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 2,238 bets and is up $61k lifetime.
They sold Mexico Yes at 81¢, effectively backing No at 19¢ against a market now pricing Mexico around 84%.
This wallet has traded across 724 events with over $1.1M in cross-market volume.

$4,293 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

84% serial cross-market bettor

A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 84% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Mexico Yes for about $6k.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 2,238 bets and is up $61.6k lifetime.
They are a massive serial sports trader, active across 723 events and $1.17M in cross-market volume.
The trade was a $6k BUY on Mexico Yes at 84¢, showing concentrated confidence despite the market now sitting lower.

$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Elite sports bettor fading Mexico

Elite profitable sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $1.24M lifetime profit is buying No against Mexico at 40¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1.24M lifetime.
They have traded across 292 events with the same strong 87% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying No at 40¢ means they are taking the underdog side against Mexico despite Mexico being favored.

$1,732 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

87% winner fades favorite

Surfaced because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $1.24M lifetime profit buying Mexico No against the current favorite.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1.24M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 291 events and $2.2M in tracked volume.
Buying No at 39¢ fades the 60% favorite and implies a contrarian read on the match.

$1,658 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Proven sports sharp buying Yes

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 83% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Mexico Yes on a relatively quiet market.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $319,808 lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record across 195 events, with $799,931 traded and the same 83% win rate.
The $1,778 buy equals 65% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet book.

$1,778 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 84177834, $15,642 (73% win rate)
0x2952...97b0 — Outcome 84177834, $3,895 (63% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 84177834, $3,833 (71% win rate)
0xdc4f...9804 — Outcome 84177834, $3,544
0x4e0e...6afd — Outcome 84177834, $3,292 (98% win rate)
0x28dc...a1f2 — Outcome 84177834, $1,400 (73% win rate)
0xd9f9...0eaa — Outcome 84177834, $1,333 (45% win rate)
0xcadd...c7e6 — Outcome 84177834, $728
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 84177834, $676
0xa386...cb0f — Outcome 84177834, $485 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

France or Spain win, not Argentina/England

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?

ResolvedMexico vs. Australia$18,160 tracked6 signalsGamesFifa FriendlySportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 30, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.