23 wallets bought the same Yes side, totaling about $138k in coordinated flow. The market saw a 27-point move toward Yes with volume running over 10x normal. The highlighted wallet’s Yes entries averaged about 46¢, but the price has already moved to 70¢.

24 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $156k on Mexico Yes. This new repeat bettor is already up $7.8k across 5 positions and has been flagged 6 times. Market activity is surging, with volume running 28x above its historical average.

Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

48 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,510,555.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp 82% sports bettor

A highly profitable 82% lifetime winner bought Mexico Yes at 67¢ before a sharp move to 92¢, with supporting cross-market history, volume spike, and price impact.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $84.6k lifetime.
They bought Mexico at 67¢ before the market surged to 92¢, a major move in their favor.
This wallet has traded across 172 events with the same 82% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$9,432 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

New profitable wallet moving odds

A 1-day-old wallet with early profits made another large Mexico Yes bet amid a major volume spike and 44-point price move.

This new wallet is already up $2.5K and has won all 3 resolved bets so far.
They bought $4.7K of Yes at 71¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
The market saw a 24x volume spike and a 44-point Yes move, suggesting strong momentum behind the same side.

$4,652 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

7-wallet contrarian No cluster

A high-scoring 7-wallet cluster is taking the contrarian No side, including one profitable serial cross-market trader, though the market is very liquid and some wallets have weak records.

Seven wallets put $27.6k on No while Mexico is priced around 92% to win.
One participant is a serial cross-market trader with 69% wins and $258.9k lifetime profit.
The cluster is buying around 9–10¢, implying a high-upside contrarian view if Mexico fails to win.

$27,602 on No

23-wallet Yes surge

High-scoring coordinated Yes flow with 23 wallets buying the same side and a sharp 27-point move, though the highlighted wallet itself has a poor long-term record.

23 wallets bought the same Yes side, totaling about $138k in coordinated flow.
The market saw a 27-point move toward Yes with volume running over 10x normal.
The highlighted wallet’s Yes entries averaged about 46¢, but the price has already moved to 70¢.

$18,883 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

24-wallet Yes surge

High-conviction one-sided flow: 24 wallets bought Mexico Yes for $156k, alongside a repeat new wallet already profitable and a 28x volume spike.

24 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $156k on Mexico Yes.
This new repeat bettor is already up $7.8k across 5 positions and has been flagged 6 times.
Market activity is surging, with volume running 28x above its historical average.

$2,553 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

90% winner joins 24-wallet push

A highly profitable 90% win-rate wallet is buying Mexico Yes alongside a large 24-wallet one-sided move and a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $368k lifetime.
24 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $156k on Mexico Yes.
Market volume spiked 28x, and this wallet has a strong cross-market sports track record.

$4,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

97% winner buying No

Elite 97% win-rate bettor with $2.0M profit is buying Mexico No alongside one-sided flow from 6 wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 79 events with a 97% hit rate.
Six wallets are all buying No, totaling $55.9K in same-direction flow.

$6,875 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Serial trader joins No cluster

High composite score driven by coordinated No buying, a major serial cross-market trader, and a pre-event volume spike on a liquid soccer market.

Six wallets are all buying No, with $55.9K moving in the same direction.
This wallet is a high-volume sports trader across 381 events and placed $32.4K on No here.
Market volume is spiking 17x above its usual pace ahead of the game.

$32,410 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Serial sports sharp fading Yes

Sharp serial cross-market sports trader with an 80% resolved-bet record is fading Mexico despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 41 markets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with nearly $988k deployed across 60 markets in 43 events.
Selling Mexico at 40¢ means the copyable side is buying No at 60¢.

$5,782 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Serial sports sharp fading Yes

Sharp serial cross-market sports trader with an 80% resolved-bet record is fading Mexico despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 41 markets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with nearly $988k deployed across 60 markets in 43 events.
Selling Mexico at 40¢ means the copyable side is buying No at 60¢.

$5,782 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 67614118, $2,699,973
0xbf32...3b90 — Outcome 67614118, $1,095,017 (100% win rate)
0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 67614118, $299,989 (98% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 67614118, $255,171 (91% win rate)
0x56b4...a84b — Outcome 67614118, $150,000 (100% win rate)
0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 67614118, $137,799 (97% win rate)
0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 67614118, $127,010 (100% win rate)
0xf751...fec8 — Outcome 67614118, $100,000 (46% win rate)
0x209b...5706 — Outcome 67614118, $53,670 (92% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 67614118, $50,000 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

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Japan wins low-scoring match

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Iraq covers low-scoring match

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Croatia wins high-scoring blowout

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Spain routs Saudi Arabia

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Belgium fails to win

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England wins a high-scoring rout

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Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout

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Brazil wins high-scoring blowout

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Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador$1,510,555 tracked48 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 30, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”