Part of: Mexico vs. England

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $245,172.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

82% sports cross-market sharp

Sharp sports wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and serial cross-market history bought Mexico No at 70¢.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets across 45 markets.
They have traded 33 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
The bet backs No at 70¢ in a very liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable veteran joins spike

A profitable high-volume bettor bought Mexico Yes during a major pre-event volume spike, though the trade is modest relative to market liquidity.

This high-volume bettor is up $726k across 17,770 resolved trades.
The market saw a 234x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh money is arriving before the match.
Entry at 31¢ implies about a 3.2x payout if Mexico wins in regulation.

$8,934 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

Elite sports sharp buying Yes

Highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 83% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Mexico Yes at 31¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $430,847 lifetime.
They have a deep track record across 278 markets, with nearly $969k in cross-market volume.
Entry at 31¢ implies they see Mexico as underpriced despite a highly liquid market.

$3,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable veteran joins spike

A profitable high-volume bettor bought Mexico Yes during a major pre-event volume spike, though the trade is modest relative to market liquidity.

This high-volume bettor is up $726k across 17,770 resolved trades.
The market saw a 234x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh money is arriving before the match.
Entry at 31¢ implies about a 3.2x payout if Mexico wins in regulation.

$1,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp bettor joins Yes cluster

A proven 88% winning wallet joined a $28.4k three-wallet Yes cluster during a 14x pre-event volume spike.

One bettor in the cluster wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $6.8k on $23.4k invested.
Three wallets bought $28.4k of Mexico Yes at 31¢ in a tight burst.
Market volume is running 14x above normal, reinforcing the one-sided move.

$28,440 on Yes

91% sports winner buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is buying Mexico Yes at 32¢ despite a liquid market.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $6.6K lifetime.
Their wins came at average odds of 57%, so the track record is not just from backing heavy favorites.
Entry at 32¢ implies they see Mexico as a strong underpriced underdog.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% record and meaningful edge is buying Mexico No at 70¢.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $24,269 lifetime.
Their wins came at average 56¢ odds, so the 78% hit rate suggests real edge.
They are buying No at 70¢ in a highly liquid market, where random size alone is less meaningful but track record stands out.

$2,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

16-0 serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 16-0 resolved record is buying Mexico No at 70¢.

This bettor has won 100% of 16 resolved bets and is up $38,478 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with $373K deployed.
Buying No at 70¢ suggests strong confidence Mexico fails to win in regulation.

$9,128 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record wallets on No

Three wallets bought $45.6k of Mexico No, led by two perfect-history profitable bettors and a serial cross-market trader with a 100% resolved record.

Two leading bettors are 26-0 combined on resolved bets and up over $100k lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $45.6k, with the largest order putting $33.7k on No at 70¢.
Market volume spiked nearly 30x versus normal, matching the one-sided move into Mexico not winning.

$45,594 on No

16-0 serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 16-0 resolved record is buying Mexico No at 70¢.

This bettor has won 100% of 16 resolved bets and is up $38,478 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with $373K deployed.
Buying No at 70¢ suggests strong confidence Mexico fails to win in regulation.

$1,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 51911548, $533,375 (98% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 79778081, $434,619
0x2643...39ae — Outcome 51911548, $305,040 (63% win rate)
0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 51911548, $264,626 (58% win rate)
0xd7ac...f764 — Outcome 51911548, $263,299 (71% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 51911548, $262,045
0x443e...fef8 — Outcome 51911548, $209,112
0x4879...5547 — Outcome 51911548, $156,250
0xd604...bc8a — Outcome 51911548, $93,750 (94% win rate)
0x59ab...1488 — Outcome 51911548, $86,683 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

ResolvedMexico vs. England$245,172 tracked19 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 5, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.