Part of: Next Manchester United manager?
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
This prediction market tracks whether Michael Carrick will be appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. It resolves when United officially announce a permanent manager, or to “Other” if no permanent appointment is made by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $3,094 in smart money and 1 signal on this market, including activity from a serial cross-market winner.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,047.
Categories: EPL, Soccer, Sports, man united
Notable Trades
87% serial cross-market winner
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $3.1k of Yes in a relatively quiet manager market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $50k lifetime.
- They are highly experienced across 436 events and more than $7.5M in total trading volume.
- The $3.1k buy was large for this market, equal to 59% of its 24h volume.
$3,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor moved thin market
A proven sharp bettor with an 82% win rate made a market-moving buy in a thin Manchester United manager market, suggesting real conviction despite paying 84¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and has made money overall across 111 settled bets.
- Their $1.95k buy was 160% of the market's entire 24-hour volume in a market with only about $3.4k of liquidity.
- The trade helped push Yes far above its prior range, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
$1,954 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x0a63...fc03 — Outcome 78463181, $7,878 (81% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78463181, $6,818
- 0x3265...34c3 — Outcome 78463181, $6,462 (44% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 78463181, $3,600
- 0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 78463181, $3,000
- 0x29a6...6ea4 — Outcome 78463181, $1,849 (60% win rate)
- 0x30ee...a587 — Outcome 78463181, $1,814 (63% win rate)
- 0xd7e4...f06f — Outcome 78463181, $1,239
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 78463181, $1,000
- 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 78463181, $1,000
