Part of: Morocco vs. Haiti
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $176,301.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
31-wallet No surge
Strong coordinated flow: 31 wallets are buying No with a large pre-event volume spike and this wallet added about $52K in the same direction.
- 31 wallets bought the same side, putting about $388K on No in the scan window.
- This wallet added about $52K to No, with related bets totaling nearly $97K across three markets.
- Volume spiked up to 148x normal, and No is now priced around 76¢.
$51,934 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
21-wallet No surge
High-conviction No buying from a profitable serial sports trader coincides with a 21-wallet one-sided cluster, major volume spike, and sharp price move.
- 21 wallets are all buying No, totaling $159K in the same direction.
- This bettor has 955 resolved trades, wins 64%, and is up $196K lifetime.
- No jumped from the mid-40¢ range to the low-70¢ range, and this wallet kept buying near 74¢.
$7,782 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Sharp cluster buying draw
High-conviction cluster buying the draw, backed by a 95% winning bettor and a sharp 82% winning wallet as the price jumped from the mid-20s to 38%.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $351k is buying Yes.
- Seven wallets bought the same side for $28k, with entries around 24–28¢.
- The draw price has already surged 26 points in 24 hours, matching the clustered buying pressure.
$28,422 on Yes
17-wallet draw surge
A large 17-wallet cluster bought the draw for $85.7k amid a major pre-event volume spike and a 12-point move toward Yes.
- 17 wallets are all betting the same way, putting $85.7k on the draw.
- Market volume spiked 44.8x above normal, with Yes already up 12 points in the last day.
- Several serial cross-market bettors are involved, including one with $1.34M traded across 144 events.
$85,665 on Yes
Profitable new sports whale
A 7-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profits is buying the draw at 12¢ despite the market pricing it as unlikely.
- This 7-day-old bettor is already up $6,038 across $56,025 invested.
- They have won 8 of 9 resolved bets so far and have been flagged 12 times for large new-wallet bets.
- Buying the draw at 12¢ implies a high-upside contrarian view against an 88% No market.
$2,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 17439714, $875,767
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 68776813, $372,638 (91% win rate)
- 0x50f0...5355 — Outcome 68776813, $104,703 (100% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 68776813, $99,910 (59% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 68776813, $44,444 (97% win rate)
- 0xb014...a357 — Outcome 68776813, $34,873 (68% win rate)
- 0xafe4...f3f7 — Outcome 68776813, $27,083 (96% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 68776813, $24,120
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 68776813, $21,953 (65% win rate)
- 0xe462...1a2a — Outcome 68776813, $20,814 (80% win rate)
Related Theses
Czechia won't beat Korea
Covers 3 related markets
Canada-Bosnia match canceled
Covers 3 related markets
Vissel Kobe will not win
Covers 1 related market
O'Higgins won't win match
Covers 1 related market
Machida Zelvia will not win
Covers 1 related market
