Part of: What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
This prediction market asks whether the active-month Natural Gas futures contract will print a 1-minute candle high of $3.20 or higher at any point in May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with final resolution scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 03:59:59 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $5,148 in smart money on this market, including a recent signal of an 87% winner buying Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month prior to the contract month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,086.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, natural gas, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
87% winner fading rally
A highly proven 87% win-rate cross-market trader is fading Yes on a natural gas threshold market, equivalent to buying No at 14¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $204k lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 86¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 14¢.
- They are active across 3 related markets with $25k positioned, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,938 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner buying Yes
A highly proven cross-market trader with an 87% win rate and $204k lifetime profit is buying Yes across this Natural Gas event.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $204k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.1M tracked across 160 events.
- They bought Yes at 64¢ while the market has already moved up 23 points this week.
$5,148 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x4060...3ec3 — Yes, $5,873 (87% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $3,698 (47% win rate)
- 0x9aea...b686 — Yes, $1,559 (56% win rate)
- 0xa5ed...ed7c — No, $947
- 0xa540...0b43 — Yes, $883 (41% win rate)
- 0x3032...99e7 — No, $644 (88% win rate)
- 0x4450...086c — No, $630
- 0x1264...31e5 — No, $416
- 0x2c1a...42d8 — No, $402
- 0xfd88...4037 — No, $392 (38% win rate)
Related Theses
WTI stays near $105
Covers 7 related markets
Natural gas swings wildly in May
Covers 4 related markets
