Part of: What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
This prediction market asks whether the active-month Natural Gas futures contract will print a 1-minute candle high of $3.40 or above at any point during May 2026. It resolves after the May trading window, with the listed resolution time on June 1, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,075 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal, including activity from an 87% win-rate commodity sharp.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month prior to the contract month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,075.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, natural gas, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
87% win-rate commodity sharp
A highly proven 87% win-rate wallet with $204k lifetime profit is building a cross-market natural gas thesis, including a Yes buy at 17¢ on this thin market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $204k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 160 events and 255 markets.
- This is part of a larger $31.7k natural gas thesis across 4 related markets.
$1,075 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $3,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x4060...3ec3 — Yes, $1,100 (87% win rate)
- 0xa540...0b43 — Yes, $918 (41% win rate)
- 0x00fa...30be — Yes, $540
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $488
- 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $472
- 0x73d2...f9b7 — No, $300 (75% win rate)
- 0x65d4...b7e3 — No, $235
- 0x3032...99e7 — No, $165 (88% win rate)
- 0x4388...5050 — Yes, $150
Related Theses
WTI reaches $105, not $110
Covers 7 related markets
Natural gas swings wildly in May
Covers 4 related markets
