Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 20 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether the active month of Natural Gas futures will print a 1-minute candle low of $2.60 or below at any time during the week of April 20, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if that price is touched during the specified week, and otherwise resolves to No. It is scheduled to resolve on April 24, 2026, with smart money activity currently light.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of April 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month prior to the contract month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,660.
Categories: Finance, Weekly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, natural gas, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
93% winner in thin market
A serial cross-market trader with a 93% win rate made a market-moving $2.7k buy in an extremely thin natural gas market, signaling conviction despite paying 89¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of their trades across 1,730 resolved bets.
- Their $2,660 buy was 163% of the market's 24-hour volume in a market with just $100 of liquidity.
- They paid 89¢ for Yes, showing strong conviction even after the market had already jumped.
$2,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x731a...033f — Yes, $2,987 (93% win rate)
- 0x45b2...cbc1 — No, $2,830 (15% win rate)
- 0xe652...d114 — No, $311 (69% win rate)
- 0x9c4b...8a81 — Yes, $217 (58% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $200 (47% win rate)
- 0x4a5d...17ad — Yes, $135 (55% win rate)
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Yes, $103
- 0xdac5...ae24 — Yes, $101
- 0x5968...3fc4 — No, $56
- 0x1cdd...e595 — No, $54
