Part of: Netherlands vs. Morocco
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $297,412.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Yes at 85¢ before the draw market moved to 100¢ amid a major volume spike and price breakout.
- This bettor has a long track record: 2,577 resolved trades, 70% wins, and $104,928 in profit.
- They were active across 3 related markets in this event, suggesting a clear event-level thesis.
- The Yes price jumped 66 points with a 34x volume spike, and this entry at 85¢ is already marked at 100¢.
$5,842 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
7-wallet draw cluster
High-score one-sided cluster buying Yes on the draw, supported by a profitable 80% bettor, though many fills are now far underwater after the market moved against them.
- Seven wallets put $31.8k on the draw, all in the same direction.
- One participating bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $3.7k on $21k invested.
- Current Yes price is 22¢, far below several cluster entries around 52–57¢.
$31,769 on Yes
20-for-20 sharp bettor
A highly profitable 20-for-20 sports bettor put $47.8k on Yes at 32¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved bets and is up $440k lifetime.
- They put $47.8k on the draw at 32¢, a large single-wallet position.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with a perfect resolved record.
$87,951 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
90% winner buys No
Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and $6.8M lifetime profit buying No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 251 events with a 90% win rate.
- Entry at 69¢ implies they see No as underpriced despite the market already being liquid.
$7,823 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 83% record and strong lifetime profit bought the draw despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
- They have traded across 26 events, showing a repeated cross-market sports betting pattern.
- Entry at 32¢ implies they see the draw as underpriced despite a deep, liquid market.
$1,905 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
9-wallet draw surge
A 9-wallet cluster bought the draw heavily ahead of resolution, coinciding with a major volume spike and a sharp move in the market.
- Nine wallets put $31k on the draw, all in the same direction.
- The market saw a 21.5x volume spike and moved sharply to 82% Yes.
- Several wallets are experienced and profitable, including one up $280k lifetime and another up $24k.
$31,038 on Yes
Proven serial sports sharp
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 78% long-term win rate and $263k profit bought $34.6k of No on the draw market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263,738 lifetime.
- They have traded across 161 events with the same 78% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $34,550 buy at 69¢ shows meaningful conviction on Netherlands vs. Morocco not ending in a draw.
$34,550 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Hot new sports wallet
New 4-day-old wallet with a perfect early record and $14.8k profit is making another sizable No bet on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This 4-day-old bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and up $14,804 so far.
- They have now been flagged 3 times, with $12,871 in notable bets across 7 positions.
- Buying No at 69¢ suggests confidence that Netherlands vs. Morocco avoids a draw.
$4,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Undefeated wallets buying No
A high-score cluster is buying No, led by a repeat new wallet and an undefeated profitable wallet, though the market is very liquid and one small trade was likely Yes profit-taking.
- The largest buyer is 8-0 on resolved bets and up $58k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $22.8k on No, including two $10k+ buys at 59¢.
- One 3-day-old wallet has now triggered large-bet alerts 26 times, with $224k total flagged.
$22,838 on No
89% serial sports bettor
High-score alert from a high-hit-rate serial cross-market trader buying No with a $12.5k position during a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has won 89% of resolved positions, going 16 for 18 so far.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.28M deployed across 28 events.
- Market volume is spiking 258x before the game, supporting the move into No.
$12,548 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 36612451, $2,504,493
- 0x37e0...024e — Outcome 36612451, $430,062 (71% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 36612451, $265,766 (90% win rate)
- 0x6185...2965 — Outcome 36612451, $130,980 (97% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 36612451, $100,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xe872...819a — Outcome 36612451, $50,072 (78% win rate)
- 0x8ab9...d821 — Outcome 36612451, $43,523 (94% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 36612451, $24,975 (50% win rate)
- 0xb754...96df — Outcome 36612451, $18,644 (100% win rate)
- 0x2c33...04a9 — Outcome 36612451, $16,949 (100% win rate)
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