Part of: New York City FC vs. Toronto FC
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,998.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS
Notable Trades
Experienced bettor buys into volume spike
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $12,540 Yes position during a 41.8x volume spike, despite only moderate demonstrated edge versus entry prices.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,614 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million.
- They concentrated $12,540 into Yes across four purchases during a 41.8x historical volume spike.
- The entry was 57¢ while the market was priced around 56%, with strong recent momentum but a long time until resolution.
$17,670 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Experienced bettor buys into volume spike
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $12,540 Yes position during a 41.8x volume spike, despite only moderate demonstrated edge versus entry prices.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,614 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million.
- They concentrated $12,540 into Yes across four purchases during a 41.8x historical volume spike.
- The entry was 57¢ while the market was priced around 56%, with strong recent momentum but a long time until resolution.
$12,540 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.
- This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
- The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
- The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.
$3,990 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor leads coordinated No buying
Three wallets deployed $20,073 on No, including a highly profitable bettor with a perfect 11-0 resolved record, while a major volume spike supports the directional signal.
- Three wallets bought No for $20,073, including a $15,732 position from the group’s lead bettor.
- The largest bettor has won all 11 resolved bets and is up $468,806 lifetime.
- Trading volume spiked to nearly 100 times its historical average, while No moved from 41–42¢ to 44¢.
$20,073 on No
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.
- This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
- The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
- The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.
$1,146 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.
- This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
- The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
- The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.
$1,160 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable bettors stacking Yes
Three wallets bought Yes together, including a profitable 81% bettor and a major trader with $2.1M lifetime profit, making the coordinated positioning worth following despite the liquid market.
- Three wallets bought Yes at 58¢, totaling nearly $5,000 in coordinated positioning.
- One bettor wins 81% of 271 resolved bets and is up $66,460.
- Another wallet is up $2.1 million lifetime across more than 1,600 resolved bets and is adding to an existing Yes position.
$4,959 on Yes
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.
- This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
- The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
- The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.
$2,320 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced serial trader with 9,509 resolved bets entered No during an extraordinary 1,039x historical volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 9,509 resolved trades and earned about $4.4 million.
- The No position was opened during a 1,039x spike versus the market’s historical trading activity.
- The trader bought No at 41¢, slightly below the current 42¢ market price.
$1,140 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 16912564, $77,612 (74% win rate)
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 16912564, $59,360 (66% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 16912564, $45,338 (70% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 16912564, $6,006 (58% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 16912564, $3,762
- 0xe6e8...7c26 — Outcome 16912564, $2,712 (61% win rate)
- 0x32be...6da7 — Outcome 16912564, $2,059 (81% win rate)
- 0x6ef5...fc37 — Outcome 16912564, $1,760 (82% win rate)
- 0xe6bf...16b9 — Outcome 16912564, $1,724 (91% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 16912564, $1,078 (66% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
