Part of: New York City FC vs. Toronto FC

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,998.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS

Notable Trades

Experienced bettor buys into volume spike

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $12,540 Yes position during a 41.8x volume spike, despite only moderate demonstrated edge versus entry prices.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,614 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million.
  • They concentrated $12,540 into Yes across four purchases during a 41.8x historical volume spike.
  • The entry was 57¢ while the market was priced around 56%, with strong recent momentum but a long time until resolution.

$17,670 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Experienced bettor buys into volume spike

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $12,540 Yes position during a 41.8x volume spike, despite only moderate demonstrated edge versus entry prices.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,614 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million.
  • They concentrated $12,540 into Yes across four purchases during a 41.8x historical volume spike.
  • The entry was 57¢ while the market was priced around 56%, with strong recent momentum but a long time until resolution.

$12,540 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
  • The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
  • The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$3,990 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp bettor leads coordinated No buying

Three wallets deployed $20,073 on No, including a highly profitable bettor with a perfect 11-0 resolved record, while a major volume spike supports the directional signal.

  • Three wallets bought No for $20,073, including a $15,732 position from the group’s lead bettor.
  • The largest bettor has won all 11 resolved bets and is up $468,806 lifetime.
  • Trading volume spiked to nearly 100 times its historical average, while No moved from 41–42¢ to 44¢.

$20,073 on No

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
  • The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
  • The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$1,146 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
  • The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
  • The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$1,160 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable bettors stacking Yes

Three wallets bought Yes together, including a profitable 81% bettor and a major trader with $2.1M lifetime profit, making the coordinated positioning worth following despite the liquid market.

  • Three wallets bought Yes at 58¢, totaling nearly $5,000 in coordinated positioning.
  • One bettor wins 81% of 271 resolved bets and is up $66,460.
  • Another wallet is up $2.1 million lifetime across more than 1,600 resolved bets and is adding to an existing Yes position.

$4,959 on Yes

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced and profitable cross-market trader with 1,613 resolved bets is buying Yes at 58% in a liquid sports market.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,613 resolved trades and is up $2.08 million lifetime.
  • The 58¢ entry is below the wallet’s average winning price of 61%, suggesting meaningful confidence in New York City FC.
  • The trader has positioned across 651 events and 917 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$2,320 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial trader buys No

A highly experienced serial trader with 9,509 resolved bets entered No during an extraordinary 1,039x historical volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 9,509 resolved trades and earned about $4.4 million.
  • The No position was opened during a 1,039x spike versus the market’s historical trading activity.
  • The trader bought No at 41¢, slightly below the current 42¢ market price.

$1,140 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 16912564, $77,612 (74% win rate)
  2. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 16912564, $59,360 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 16912564, $45,338 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 16912564, $6,006 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 16912564, $3,762
  6. 0xe6e8...7c26 Outcome 16912564, $2,712 (61% win rate)
  7. 0x32be...6da7 Outcome 16912564, $2,059 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x6ef5...fc37 Outcome 16912564, $1,760 (82% win rate)
  9. 0xe6bf...16b9 Outcome 16912564, $1,724 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 16912564, $1,078 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

ResolvedNew York City FC vs. Toronto FC$64,998 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 31, 2026 If New York City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
61¢
52¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$17,670 on Yes at 57¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$12,540 on Yes at 57¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$3,990 on Yes at 58¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$20,073 on No at 42¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$1,146 on Yes at 58¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$1,160 on Yes at 58¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$4,959 on Yes at 58¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$2,320 on Yes at 58¢

Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

8d ago

$1,140 on No at 41¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?