Part of: New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If New York Red Bulls wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,797.
Categories: MLS, Games, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market bettor
A highly active serial cross-market bettor with 1,693 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying No on New York Red Bulls to win.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 1,693 resolved bets, 71% wins, and $9.5K lifetime profit.
- They regularly trade across related sports markets, with 42 events and $80.7K in flagged cross-market activity.
- Selling Yes at 37¢ is equivalent to buying No at 63¢, backing Red Bulls not to win in regulation.
$1,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable bettors clustered on Yes
Three profitable soccer bettors bought the same side, including one 76% winner with $31k profit, making this a copy-worthy cluster despite only moderate trade size.
- One bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $31k lifetime.
- Three wallets all bought Yes, totaling $5.2k on the Red Bulls win side.
- Entry around 40¢ implies they see better value than the current 38¢ market price.
$5,235 on Yes
Profitable sharp exits YES
Sharp profitable wallet with 827 resolved bets sold its Red Bulls Yes position, implying a move toward No despite the weak standalone signal.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $31,383 lifetime.
- They sold Red Bulls Yes at 38¢ after previously entering around 41¢, signaling they no longer like that side.
- The equivalent copy is buying No at 62¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,262 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xdf80...3259 — Yes, $4,679 (71% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Yes, $4,488 (51% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — No, $3,992 (52% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — No, $2,402 (73% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Yes, $2,104 (52% win rate)
- 0x04b9...79e0 — No, $2,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xe2e9...1c08 — Yes, $925 (63% win rate)
- 0x7511...582e — Yes, $769 (51% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — No, $687
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $671 (55% win rate)
Related Theses
Wolfsburg win on May 16
Covers 1 related market
FC Dallas will not win
Covers 1 related market
Red Bulls won't win
Covers 1 related market
LAFC beat Houston decisively
Covers 1 related market
