Part of: Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $175,850.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

21-wallet No cluster with sharp bettor

A large 21-wallet No cluster and a proven 92% bettor support the direction, though the market has already repriced to No near 100% and opposing linked flow makes this poorly timed to copy now.

21 wallets bought No for $114,035, alongside a bettor who wins 92% of 38 resolved trades and has beaten average implied odds by about 20 percentage points.
Yes fell 20.6 percentage points, indicating the No thesis drove a major repricing in this heavily traded market.
The market now shows No at 100%, while 19 linked wallets bought Yes for $168,661, so the signal is notable but largely exhausted and contested.

$114,035 on No

Proven trader scaling into No

A serial cross-market trader with 207 resolved bets and a strong 67% win rate is adding to an existing No position during a major volume surge.

This bettor has won 67% of 207 resolved trades and is up $27,767 lifetime.
They are adding $1,061 to an existing No position, signaling increased conviction despite Newcastle Yes trading near 44%.
Trading volume is running 10.9 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.

$1,061 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Linked cluster with elite sharp bettor

A nine-wallet, linked-funder cluster bought $58.7K of Yes amid a 63-point price surge, including a highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and 52% edge over implied odds.

Nine wallets tied to two funders bought $58,738 of Yes, creating strong coordinated conviction.
One participant has won 98% of 49 resolved bets while buying at average odds of 46%.
Yes rose from entries around 60–73% to 88%, confirming the cluster’s timing and direction.

$58,738 on Yes

92% winner adds to No

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor is adding to an existing No position despite Newcastle being priced at 24% to win.

This bettor has won 92% of 37 resolved trades, with a reported 20-point edge over average implied odds.
The $2,016 No purchase adds to an existing $2,653 position, signaling continued conviction that Newcastle will not win.
The trade enters No at 76¢, implying roughly a 76% chance of Newcastle failing to win.

$2,016 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0xf031...c80c — Outcome 76967412, $203,782 (88% win rate)
0xbc43...96d3 — Outcome 76967412, $35,801 (78% win rate)
0x7d92...8676 — Outcome 76967412, $35,000 (71% win rate)
0x0a39...b0b9 — Outcome 76967412, $28,391 (66% win rate)
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 76967412, $12,500 (78% win rate)
0x191f...4a8d — Outcome 76967412, $12,000 (71% win rate)
0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 76967412, $11,004 (76% win rate)
0x8105...099d — Outcome 76967412, $10,000
0x73c5...2f80 — Outcome 76967412, $7,274 (57% win rate)
0x80cf...30aa — Outcome 76967412, $6,250 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Liverpool will win on August 2

Covers 1 related market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?

ResolvedNewcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC$175,850 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 23, 2026 If Newcastle United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.