Part of: Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,709.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, EPL, Games, Premier League

Notable Trades

Nine-wallet No betting cluster

A nine-wallet coordinated No position totaling $71,877 is the strongest signal, though this wallet's Yes sale appears to be profit-taking from an earlier position.

Nine wallets are betting No with a combined $71,877, showing strong one-sided conviction.
This bettor has won 93% of 14 resolved trades and is up $5,575 lifetime.
The individual sale appears to close a profitable Yes position, so the coordinated No flow matters more than the sale itself.

$1,312 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Linked cluster with elite bettor

A 15-wallet linked cluster committed nearly $46,000 to Yes, including a proven 91% bettor, although the market has already repriced to 100% and opposing No flow weakens the signal.

Fifteen linked wallets bought Yes for nearly $46,000, showing concentrated conviction rather than isolated activity.
One participating bettor has won 91% of 369 resolved positions and is up $356,828, with entries averaging 53%.
Yes was bought as low as 31¢ but now shows 100% odds, so this is primarily a successful trade to study rather than a current entry.

$45,961 on Yes

91% win-rate bettor adds to Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Newcastle Yes position at 31¢, though the trade is not fresh and the market is highly liquid.

This bettor has won 91% of 366 resolved trades and is up $351,130 overall.
They are adding $1,605 to Newcastle Yes at 31¢, implying a strong view despite already holding $5,179 of the outcome.
A 33.3x pre-event volume spike supports the move, although this is a liquid market with a narrow 1¢ spread.

$1,605 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettors scaling into No

Three wallets, including two highly profitable bettors, concentrated nearly $19,000 on No despite a sharp move toward Yes.

Two bettors with 82% and 92% win rates committed to the No outcome.
Three wallets concentrated nearly $19,000 on No, including one wallet adding to an existing $33,911 No position.
The market recently moved 27 percentage points toward Yes, making this a strongly contrarian position with substantial conviction.

$18,830 on No

Top Holders

0xe4a7...4a1d — Outcome 12421560, $33,911 (95% win rate)
0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 12421560, $11,887 (66% win rate)
0xc974...b33b — Outcome 12421560, $11,672 (88% win rate)
0x9f41...8f27 — Outcome 12421560, $10,027 (86% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 12421560, $7,318
0xd146...9bf0 — Outcome 12421560, $5,000 (43% win rate)
0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 12421560, $3,234 (89% win rate)
0x0a6b...96e1 — Outcome 12421560, $2,876 (48% win rate)
0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 12421560, $1,503 (65% win rate)
0x2fa9...a486 — Outcome 12421560, $1,429 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Newell’s Old Boys-Talleres Goes Over 2.5

Covers 1 related market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?

ResolvedTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC$67,709 tracked4 signalsSportsSoccerEPLGamesPremier League

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If Newcastle United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

73¢

70¢

66¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction