Part of: Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This Polymarket market tracks whether FIFA confirms a men’s national team to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including the possibility that no country replaces Iran. It is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026, based on official FIFA confirmation, with $2,000 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently noted.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: world cup, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

98% winner on thin market

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an exceptional 59-1 resolved record and is adding $2,000 into a thin market at 90¢.

  • This bettor has won 59 of 60 resolved trades and is up $18K lifetime.
  • The $2,000 buy was 87% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin order book.
  • Entry at 90¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet with limited upside but a strong track-record signal.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x203b...acd1 — No, $2,496
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,343
  3. 0x2271...b8f1 — Yes, $2,228 (98% win rate)
  4. 0xf49c...9786 — No, $1,187 (29% win rate)
  5. 0x0cbe...95f3 — Yes, $1,000 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x635d...5025 — Yes, $842
  7. 0x77c3...00c8 — Yes, $600
  8. 0xc2c0...466b — Yes, $408
  9. 0x91d7...0dfc — Yes, $250 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x2952...97b0 — No, $234

Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

106dWhich team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?$2,000 tracked1 signalworld cupSoccerSports
Yes
92¢
No
8¢

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
94¢
82¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2h ago

$2,000 on Yes at 90¢

90¢→92¢↑2¢