Part of: Northern Ireland vs. Guinea

Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?

This prediction market asks whether Northern Ireland will win their soccer friendly scheduled for June 4, 2026, based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Northern Ireland wins, the market resolves Yes; a draw, loss, or full cancellation without a make-up game resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,141 in smart money activity and 1 signal on this market.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 4, 2026 If Northern Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,137.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market regular

Serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved history and positive P&L is buying No on a soccer outcome, though the edge is modest.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 662 resolved trades and is up about $5.9k lifetime.
  • They regularly trade across related markets, with 40 events and $170k in cross-market activity tracked.
  • Entry at 59¢ on No suggests they see Northern Ireland as less likely to win than the market implies.

$1,141 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought No at 58¢, with a 67% win rate across 1,172 resolved bets and +$253k lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor wins 67% of resolved bets and is up $253k lifetime.
  • They have traded 147 markets across 139 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports approach.
  • Entry at 58¢ implies they see Northern Ireland not winning as materially underpriced.

$1,996 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd331...733c No, $7,766 (68% win rate)
  2. 0x507e...beae Yes, $5,138 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x7ebe...5e03 No, $4,935
  4. 0x1188...f4ad Yes, $4,930
  5. 0xe319...8f82 No, $4,929
  6. 0x4caa...d4f7 Yes, $4,924
  7. 0x2117...5c26 No, $3,458 (67% win rate)
  8. 0xdb83...1e50 Yes, $2,497 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $2,389 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x4379...2e16 No, $1,917 (55% win rate)

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Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?

8hNorthern Ireland vs. Guinea$3,137 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly
Yes
42¢
No
59¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 4, 2026 If Northern Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
65¢
57¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?

2h ago

$1,141 on No at 59¢

59¢59¢

Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?

2h ago

$1,996 on No at 58¢

58¢59¢1¢

Related Theses