Part of: Norway vs. England
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $375,237.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster caught draw
A large coordinated Yes move from 42 wallets, including several strong sports traders, caught the draw before odds moved to 100%.
- 42 wallets bought the draw for $266k, pushing Yes up 74 points to 100%.
- Several strong bettors joined, including wallets winning 98% and 87% of resolved trades.
- This move is already fully priced at 100%, so it is more useful as a follow/study signal than a fresh entry.
$265,981 on Yes
Serial sports bettor adding
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate is adding to an existing No position ahead of kickoff, though the market is highly liquid so the size signal is moderate.
- This bettor has won 78% of 282 resolved markets and is up about $83k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $784k deployed across 57 related markets.
- They added $6.8k to an existing No position at 75–77¢ before the match.
$6,823 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
92% winner adding to No
A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports trader is adding to a No-draw position ahead of a high-volume match with a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
- They bought another $3.5K of No, bringing their open No position to about $13.9K.
- Market volume is spiking 61x before the match, suggesting this move is part of broader pre-game positioning.
$3,535 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner adding No
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% historical win rate is adding another $21.6k to an existing No position ahead of kickoff.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $397k lifetime.
- They added $21.6k to an existing No position, bringing total exposure on this market above $50k.
- Entry at 75¢ suggests they see limited draw risk despite heavy pre-game volume.
$21,562 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
90% winner fades draw
A highly profitable 90% winner is selling $77k of Draw exposure, implying a BUY No at 74¢, though this is partly a reduction of an existing large Yes position rather than a brand-new No bet.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $8.5M lifetime.
- They sold $77k of Draw shares at 26¢, equivalent to buying No at 74¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 28 events with a 90% hit rate.
$77,337 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 90644986, $4,954,608
- 0x0c78...77f1 — Outcome 90644986, $510,427 (75% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 90644986, $340,170 (62% win rate)
- 0x7ddd...c933 — Outcome 90644986, $333,531 (92% win rate)
- 0x209b...5706 — Outcome 90644986, $28,846 (94% win rate)
- 0x95f5...779f — Outcome 90644986, $28,167
- 0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 90644986, $20,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xd104...acef — Outcome 90644986, $20,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 90644986, $19,728 (67% win rate)
- 0x99c4...18e7 — Outcome 90644986, $15,138 (51% win rate)
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