Part of: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,832,763.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins 49-wallet flow
Sharp 84% lifetime bettor bought Yes into a huge 49-wallet one-sided flow, despite the market later trading below their 45¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $91k lifetime.
- 49 wallets have bought the same side, totaling over $1.0M in Yes buys.
- Market volume spiked 73x ahead of the game, suggesting a major wave of positioning.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Serial sports bettor hit
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 325-bet record bought Norway Yes at 84¢ before the market moved to 100¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 325 resolved bets and is up about $30K lifetime.
- They have traded across 87 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 84¢ has already moved to 100¢, so this was a strong read but is no longer attractive above the suggested ceiling.
$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
33-wallet contrarian NO wave
Coordinated No-side flow is notable: 33 wallets and cross-market positioning are buying No, though this specific wallet has a weak historical record and the price recently moved against No.
- 33 wallets bought No in the same window, totaling $177.5k of one-sided flow.
- There is $140.9k of related cross-market positioning on the same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- No is near 34¢ now versus this wallet’s roughly 42¢ average entry, so the market is offering a cheaper copy price.
$162,013 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Sharp joins 24-wallet No wave
A proven 79% winning bettor effectively bought No at 31¢ amid a 24-wallet one-sided move that has already repriced the market sharply.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $34k lifetime.
- 24 wallets all bet the same way, totaling $148k on No.
- Their sell of Yes at 69¢ was effectively a No entry at 31¢, before No moved to 78¢.
$1,483 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
87% winner backs Yes
A high-hit-rate sports bettor placed a $27.5k BUY Yes on Norway amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has won 20 of 23 resolved bets, beating average market odds by a wide margin.
- They put $27.5k on Yes at 46¢, a meaningful same-day position before the match.
- Market volume is surging, with activity running over 120x its historical average.
$2,459 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
33-wallet contrarian NO wave
Coordinated No-side flow is notable: 33 wallets and cross-market positioning are buying No, though this specific wallet has a weak historical record and the price recently moved against No.
- 33 wallets bought No in the same window, totaling $177.5k of one-sided flow.
- There is $140.9k of related cross-market positioning on the same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- No is near 34¢ now versus this wallet’s roughly 42¢ average entry, so the market is offering a cheaper copy price.
$6,665 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
15-0 sharp joins 33-wallet flow
Sharp 15-0 wallet with strong profits joined a 33-wallet one-sided move buying Norway No amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
- This bettor has won 100% of 15 resolved trades and is up $58K lifetime.
- 33 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $178K on No.
- The market is seeing a 15.7x volume spike and a 28-point price move around the trade.
$3,003 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven sharp backs No
A proven 80% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Norway No alongside a 33-wallet one-sided cluster, despite heavy market volume and recent Yes momentum.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $159k lifetime.
- 33 wallets are all betting the same way on No, totaling about $178k.
- Selling Yes at 64¢ is equivalent to buying No at 36¢, fading Norway after a 20-point daily move.
$1,493 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp-led Yes swarm
Large 27-wallet Yes cluster with sharp profitable bettors, a 13.6x volume spike, and a major price move toward Norway.
- 27 wallets put $228k on Norway Yes, pushing the market from the mid-30¢ range to about 64¢.
- A proven bettor in the flow wins 78% of their bets and is up $1.4M lifetime.
- Volume is 13.6x above normal and the Yes price is up 19 points in the last day.
$228,347 on Yes
96% winner joins No wave
A proven 96% winner joined a large 30-wallet No wave with major volume and price movement, making this worth surfacing despite the market now trading far below their entry.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and has traded across 37 events.
- 30 wallets put $159k on No in the same window, alongside a 13.6x volume spike.
- They bought No at 62¢; the market now shows 36¢, so this is a volatile contrarian signal.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x7225...659a — Outcome 78587071, $4,819,477 (93% win rate)
- 0x987b...df43 — Outcome 78587071, $830,104 (87% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78587071, $395,650
- 0x56b4...a84b — Outcome 78587071, $373,709 (100% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 78587071, $342,391 (51% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 78587071, $338,110 (90% win rate)
- 0x56e2...4b88 — Outcome 78587071, $110,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 78587071, $90,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 78587071, $89,999 (99% win rate)
- 0x73bc...46ce — Outcome 78587071, $86,791 (54% win rate)
Related Theses
Knicks Cavaliers stay under
Covers 4 related markets
Canadiens win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Czechia won't beat Korea
Covers 3 related markets
Canada-Bosnia match canceled
Covers 3 related markets
Rockies Athletics stay low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Tempo-Dream stays under 178
Covers 3 related markets
Sparks-Tempo stays under
Covers 3 related markets
Marlins win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
