Part of: "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?

This prediction market asks whether "Obsession" will gross between $9 million and $11 million at the domestic box office during its 3-day opening weekend, May 15–17, 2026. It resolves after final Daily Box Office Performance figures are available on The Numbers, with smart money activity currently showing $1,509 tracked across 1 signal.

This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,509.

Categories: Movies, box office, Culture, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable thin-market bettor

Profitable wallet made a relatively large No bet that dwarfs recent activity in a very thin box-office bracket market.

  • This bettor is up $28.6k lifetime across 76 resolved trades.
  • The $1.5k No buy was about 2.7x recent 24h volume in a very quiet market.
  • Entry at 88¢ suggests they see the 9m–11m box-office bracket as unlikely.

$1,509 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $2,483
  2. 0xb94c...b5b5 No, $1,357 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x5095...93ee Yes, $1,000 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $947
  5. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $383
  6. 0xfcf2...7279 Yes, $293
  7. 0x7495...7fcf Yes, $250
  8. 0xf2f5...137e Yes, $200
  9. 0x681b...8a5a Yes, $200
  10. 0x87e8...b760 Yes, $122

Related Theses

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Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?

3d"Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office$1,509 tracked1 signalMoviesbox officeCultureRewards 200, 4.5, 50
Yes
3¢
No
97¢

This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “No
99¢
84¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?

3h ago

$1,509 on No at 88¢

88¢97¢9¢

Related Theses