Part of: "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

This Polymarket asks whether “Obsession” will gross more than $15 million domestically during its 3-day opening weekend from May 15–17, 2026. The market resolves after final, non-estimated Daily Box Office Performance figures are posted on The Numbers, with resolution expected on May 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,568 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this box office prediction market.

This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,568.

Categories: Movies, box office, Culture, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 71% wallet is adding a cross-market Yes position into strong upward momentum on a niche box-office market.

  • This bettor has won 71% of resolved trades and is up $28.6k lifetime.
  • They are betting across 2 related markets on the same movie, suggesting a broader box-office thesis.
  • The market has moved up 31.5 points in a day, and this buy came at 60¢ into that momentum.

$1,568 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb94c...b5b5 Yes, $5,617 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $2,735
  3. 0x5095...93ee No, $2,685 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x8adb...e4f6 No, $2,279 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x6018...170c Yes, $1,251 (42% win rate)
  6. 0x8564...4b2e Yes, $1,000 (33% win rate)
  7. 0x1fab...f47b No, $1,000
  8. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $946
  9. 0xe904...2d9f Yes, $863
  10. 0x4e67...2b1f No, $762

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Michael tops 35m weekend

Covers 2 related markets

Obsession opens above 15m

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

3d"Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office$1,568 tracked1 signalMoviesbox officeCultureRewards 200, 4.5, 50
Yes
58¢
No
42¢

This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “Yes
59¢
40¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

2h ago

$1,568 on Yes at 60¢

60¢58¢2¢

Related Theses