Part of: "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
This Polymarket asks whether “Obsession” will gross more than $15 million domestically during its 3-day opening weekend from May 15–17, 2026. The market resolves after final, non-estimated Daily Box Office Performance figures are posted on The Numbers, with resolution expected on May 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,568 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this box office prediction market.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,568.
Categories: Movies, box office, Culture, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable 71% wallet is adding a cross-market Yes position into strong upward momentum on a niche box-office market.
- This bettor has won 71% of resolved trades and is up $28.6k lifetime.
- They are betting across 2 related markets on the same movie, suggesting a broader box-office thesis.
- The market has moved up 31.5 points in a day, and this buy came at 60¢ into that momentum.
$1,568 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xb94c...b5b5 — Yes, $5,617 (71% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,735
- 0x5095...93ee — No, $2,685 (49% win rate)
- 0x8adb...e4f6 — No, $2,279 (92% win rate)
- 0x6018...170c — Yes, $1,251 (42% win rate)
- 0x8564...4b2e — Yes, $1,000 (33% win rate)
- 0x1fab...f47b — No, $1,000
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $946
- 0xe904...2d9f — Yes, $863
- 0x4e67...2b1f — No, $762
Related Theses
Michael tops 35m weekend
Covers 2 related markets
Obsession opens above 15m
Covers 2 related markets
