Will OFI win on 2026-09-17?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,378.

Notable Trades

Serial trader ahead of major repricing

A $1,668 Yes purchase at 54¢ preceded an exceptional repricing to 98¢ amid a 640x volume spike, making this a notable apparently informed trade despite the wallet's only moderate historical win rate.

A $1,668 Yes bet at 54¢ is now priced near 98%, an 86-point move in the bettor's favor.
Trading volume reached 639 times its historical average while the market broke sharply above its prior 21% range.
The wallet has traded across 606 events and 2,205 resolved positions, though its 64% win rate is only moderate.

$1,668 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp bettor bought No before huge move

A proven sharp bettor bought No at 48% ahead of a 639x volume surge, although the position has since fallen to 2%.

This bettor has won 19 of 25 resolved trades, with $84,263 in lifetime profit and a 35-point edge over implied odds.
They bought No at 48% while the market experienced a 639x historical volume spike, signaling a substantial pre-event thesis.
The position is now marked near 2%, so the trade is worth studying but carries significant evidence of adverse price movement.

$4,880 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettor leads three-wallet No cluster

A three-wallet No cluster includes a proven 76% bettor with substantial positive edge, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.

A bettor with a 76% win rate and $84,263 profit joined the $4,668 No position.
Three wallets bought No between 48¢ and 61¢, signaling strong disagreement with the market’s current 8% No price.
The position is already underwater after Yes surged 81 percentage points, so the trade is notable but carries substantial timing risk.

$4,668 on No

93% win-rate bettor adds to No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to an existing No position, though the entry is already near the market consensus.

This bettor has won 93% of 98 resolved trades and earned $44,551 in profit.
They are scaling into No at 90¢, reinforcing an existing $1,291 position on the 90%-implied favorite.
The wallet has traded across 37 events and 51 markets, suggesting a substantial repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$1,162 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0x5014...c86d — Outcome 51479397, $38,073 (76% win rate)
0x1660...5598 — Outcome 51479397, $4,350 (90% win rate)
0x5e39...352c — Outcome 51479397, $3,187 (76% win rate)
0x1eef...83aa — Outcome 51479397, $3,000 (59% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 51479397, $2,501
0x0a6b...96e1 — Outcome 51479397, $2,500 (49% win rate)
0xcc2a...9563 — Outcome 51479397, $1,504
0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 51479397, $1,500 (59% win rate)
0xb0e4...d42f — Outcome 51479397, $1,362
0x4a9c...f546 — Outcome 51479397, $1,291 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Will OFI win on 2026-09-17?

ResolvedOFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim$12,378 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 17, 2026 If OFI wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “No”

92¢

89¢

86¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction