Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $891,447.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1

Notable Trades

95% win-rate contrarian

A proven sharp bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.25M in profit bought into a big selloff in this match market, making this a strong contrarian signal worth tracking.

  • This bettor wins 95% of 587 resolved trades and is up $1.25M lifetime
  • They bought Yes at 22¢ after the price crashed 31 points in a day, stepping into a sharp selloff
  • This wallet has traded 282 markets across 225 events with the same strong hit rate

$1,079 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettor beat the move

A proven profitable sports trader with a 72% win rate bought No before the market moved sharply in their favor from 60% to 84%.

  • This bettor has won 456 of 633 resolved markets and is up about $303k overall
  • They bought No at 60¢, and the market is now 84¢, showing a strong early read
  • This wallet has traded 448 markets across 335 events, suggesting repeatable sports betting skill

$1,186 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

New whale betting late

A 4-day-old wallet with early profits repeatedly deployed $315k into OGC Nice Yes in the final 6 minutes before resolution, alongside an extreme market volume spike.

  • A 4-day-old wallet has already been flagged 208 times, is up $63k, and just put $315k into one side.
  • Most of the buys came in the final 6 minutes, including within 1 minute of resolution, a pattern that can signal live-game edge.
  • The market saw a 465x volume spike, and this wallet was paying 52-53¢ for Yes, showing strong conviction despite a thick market.

$314,881 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

95% winner leads late cluster

Three wallets piled into No right before resolution, led by a bettor with a 95% win rate and $4.1M profit, making this late live-sports cluster worth following.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of their trades and is up $4.1M led this move with a $15k buy.
  • Three wallets all bought No for $21.5k within minutes of resolution, showing concentrated conviction.
  • They entered around 48¢ to 50¢, and No is now 52¢, so the market moved their way immediately.

$21,515 on No

95% winner betting live

A bettor with a 95% win rate and $4.1M profit placed a $15k live bet on No just 2 minutes before resolution during an extreme volume spike, making this a strong trade to watch.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $4.1M lifetime.
  • They put $15k on No just 2.2 minutes before resolution, a strong sign of live-game timing edge.
  • Market volume was running 641x above normal, suggesting fast informed action around the end of the match.

$15,017 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

3-wallet live-match pile-in

Three wallets piled more than $402k into Yes on a live soccer market less than a minute before resolution, including a highly profitable veteran wallet and a new wallet already showing strong early results.

  • Three wallets bought Yes for $402.7k in the same match, with the bets landing about 1 minute before resolution.
  • One wallet has 1,971 resolved bets with a 73% win rate and $3.58M profit, giving this cluster real betting credibility.
  • A 4-day-old wallet has already been flagged 201 times and is up $63k, suggesting aggressive high-conviction sizing rather than routine action.

$402,691 on Yes

Proven cross-market winner

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $3.58M profit is taking a fresh Yes position in a liquid soccer market at 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,971 resolved trades and is up $3.58M lifetime
  • They trade across many related markets with a long track record: 456 events and 557 markets
  • Bought Yes at 51¢ in a tight, liquid market, suggesting a straightforward directional view rather than a noisy fill

$3,217 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

New profitable whale on Nice

A 4-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat large betting just put $132k into Nice at 50-51¢, creating a huge volume spike and signaling strong conviction.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already been flagged 193 times and is up $63k despite being brand new.
  • It just bought $132k of Yes at 50-51¢ in 5 trades, showing concentrated conviction at even odds.
  • These buys drove an extreme volume surge and were far larger than the market's prior activity in the scan window.

$131,863 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x36a3...fafb Outcome 81350874, $1,032,778 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x8e71...4402 Outcome 81350874, $35,916
  3. 0x525e...0b73 Outcome 81350874, $15,394
  4. 0x80cf...427d Outcome 81350874, $9,783 (95% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 81350874, $6,307 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x4a8d...31ea Outcome 81350874, $4,262 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 59344012, $2,292
  8. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 81350874, $2,000 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 81350874, $1,868 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 81350874, $1,717 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

Resolved$891,447 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLigue 1

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If OGC Nice wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$1,079 on Yes at 22¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$1,186 on No at 60¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$314,881 on Yes at 53¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$21,515 on No at 48¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$15,017 on No at 48¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$402,691 on Yes at 53¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$3,217 on Yes at 51¢

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

2d ago

$131,863 on Yes at 51¢

Related Theses

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12? | PolySpotter