Part of: World Cup: Worst-Placed CONMEBOL Nation

Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This Polymarket market asks whether Paraguay will be the worst-placed CONMEBOL nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, meaning the South American team eliminated earliest or ranked lowest by the market rules. It resolves after the tournament, with tiebreakers based on wins, goals scored, and further criteria; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,366 in smart money and 1 signal, including a proven sports whale buying YES.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL (South America) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CONMEBOL nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,366.

Categories: Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Continental Futures

Notable Trades

Proven sports whale buying YES

A highly profitable 80% win-rate wallet made a meaningful buy in a thin World Cup market and the price has already moved sharply in its favor.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $620K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 58¢ in a thin market where this trade was 53% of daily volume.
  • The market has already moved to 73¢, suggesting their entry may have caught early momentum.

$1,366 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb3cf...0ebd Yes, $2,343 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $625
  3. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $400 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x2b25...ff39 No, $280
  5. 0xe8ef...ddda Yes, $235
  6. 0x2c66...01d0 No, $235 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x5219...9781 No, $161
  8. 0xb92a...f51c No, $158 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xcc5e...7761 No, $138
  10. 0x8f7b...2a5f Yes, $136

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Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

48dWorld Cup: Worst-Placed CONMEBOL Nation$1,366 tracked1 signalSoccer2026 FIFA World CupSportsworld cupFIFA World CupContinental Futures
Yes
74¢
No
27¢

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL (South America) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CONMEBOL nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
77¢
51¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2h ago

$1,366 on Yes at 58¢

58¢74¢16¢

Related Theses