Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,643.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Paraguay No at 83¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, and the position has already moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor is up $2.7M lifetime across more than 2,200 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 169 related events and win 65% of resolved bets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought No at 83¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$1,326 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial event trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $16.6k on No at 83¢ amid a major event-volume spike, and the position has already moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor is up $4.19M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved trades.
  • They put $16.6k on No at 83¢ while also trading across 3 markets in the same event.
  • Market volume spiked 280x versus normal activity, and No has since moved to 100¢.

$16,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable serial sports trader

Sharp serial cross-market sports trader bought $11.2k of No at 83¢ and the market quickly moved to 100¢, backed by a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 3,701 resolved bets and is up $181k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 110 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought $11.2k of No at 83¢ during a 280x volume spike, and the market has since moved to 100¢.

$11,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp cluster buying longshot

Seven wallets bought the Paraguay Yes side for nearly $40k, including multiple profitable high-win-rate cross-market sports traders, though the market has since moved sharply against the early 28–32¢ entries.

  • Seven wallets put $39.8k on the same side, with several entries effectively buying Paraguay Yes around 28–32¢.
  • Two proven cross-market traders stand out: one wins 93% of resolved bets, another wins 85% and is up $74.9k lifetime.
  • Price has since fallen to about 6¢, so the current market offers a much cheaper entry than most of the cluster paid.

$39,836 on Yes

Proven bettor buying longshot

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Paraguay Yes at 9¢ despite the market pricing it as a longshot.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $14.6K lifetime.
  • They bought Paraguay at 9¢, implying a longshot with about 11x payout if right.
  • The edge signal is based on 86 resolved bets, not just a small sample.

$2,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Perfect-record bettor backs favorite

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: the bettor is 26-0 on resolved markets with positive lifetime P&L and made a $12.6k buy that dominates the market's daily volume.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved bets and is up $20.2k lifetime.
  • The $12.6k buy made up 85% of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
  • Entry at 90¢ is a low-upside favorite bet, but the wallet’s perfect record makes it worth tracking.

$12,635 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 79199945, $5,396,122
  2. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 11288434, $1,241,997 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x44c5...8d45 Outcome 11288434, $212,160 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x7b7f...a394 Outcome 11288434, $204,310
  5. 0x4433...9d34 Outcome 11288434, $189,649 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x6bf6...d283 Outcome 11288434, $100,022
  7. 0x25ed...369b Outcome 11288434, $100,000
  8. 0xdbe0...00ab Outcome 11288434, $90,000 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xcde3...534d Outcome 11288434, $63,765
  10. 0x05c7...f3e8 Outcome 11288434, $51,000

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

ResolvedGermany vs. Paraguay$83,643 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Paraguay wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
93¢
91¢
88¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

2d ago

$1,326 on No at 83¢

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

2d ago

$16,600 on No at 83¢

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

2d ago

$11,161 on No at 83¢

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

2d ago

$39,836 on Yes at 7¢

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

2d ago

$2,085 on Yes at 9¢

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

4d ago

$12,635 on No at 90¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?