Part of: FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
28 smart money signals detected, totaling $230,546.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL
Notable Trades
19-wallet No cluster
A 19-wallet one-sided move bought No into PSG, and this wallet sold Yes at 73¢ before the market moved to No at 100¢, though the individual trade may partly be position-closing.
- 19 wallets all moved the same way, with $41.7K collectively backing No.
- The trade effectively bought No at 27¢ before No moved to 100¢.
- This wallet was only 9 hours old but had already made 8 positions and $2.6K in flagged bets.
$1,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
84% winner joins No cluster
Strong No-side signal from a proven 84% winner plus a 10-wallet same-direction cluster, though the market has moved sharply against the original entry.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $12K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all taking the No side, totaling $24K, with some linked funding.
- The market has moved hard toward Yes, so the No side is now cheaper than this trader’s converted 41¢ entry.
$3,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp cluster fading PSG
Coordinated No flow is worth surfacing because a 7-wallet cluster includes linked wallets and a 96% lifetime bettor, though some Yes sells appear to be profit-taking and the market has moved against them.
- A bettor who has won 27 of 28 resolved bets bought No for $5.2K.
- Seven wallets put $32.8K on No, including 3 wallets funded by the same source.
- No is now cheaper than their average entry after the market moved toward PSG.
$32,752 on No
74% winner joins Yes cluster
High-conviction Yes-side flow from a 74% winning serial cross-market trader plus a 9-wallet one-sided cluster and major price momentum makes this worth surfacing despite the individual trade being a No exit.
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,026 resolved bets and is up $156K lifetime.
- Nine wallets are all leaning the same way, with $69.6K moving toward PSG Yes.
- The market has surged about 39 percentage points in 24 hours on a major volume spike.
$1,323 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
88% winner joins linked soccer flow
Sharp 88% cross-market trader joined a 9-wallet one-sided Yes flow on a high-volume soccer market with strong price momentum.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $204K lifetime.
- 9 wallets are all betting the same way, totaling nearly $70K in Yes exposure.
- They effectively bought Yes at 56¢, ahead of a move to about 62¢.
$2,658 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
High-scoring alert driven by a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor and $54k of coordinated one-sided buying on PSG No, despite recent market momentum against the trade.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 66% wins across 6,853 resolved bets and about $947k in profit.
- Four wallets bought the same side, putting $54k into No on a very active match market.
- The trade entered No at 55¢ while it now sits near 48¢, offering a better price than the original bettor got.
$1,893 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
8-wallet one-sided surge
High composite alert from 8-wallet one-sided buying into PSG Yes, supported by strong 24h price momentum and a new wallet with early profits.
- 8 wallets bought the same side, totaling $52k in the scan window.
- This new wallet is already up $4.1k on $7.5k invested, though its history is short.
- PSG Yes has moved up 20 points in 24h, matching the one-sided buying pressure.
$1,581 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
13-wallet linked No cluster
High-scoring coordinated No flow from 13 wallets, including linked funding and several profitable serial sports bettors, though the market is liquid and there is opposing Yes-side flow.
- 13 wallets put $34K on No, with 4 wallets sharing a funder.
- The cluster includes bettors with strong records, including one up $1.1M and another winning 90% of resolved bets.
- No is now 55¢, below the roughly 60¢ average price this group paid.
$34,275 on No
78% winner late-game bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate placed a large late-game PSG No bet, supported by a long serial cross-market track record and a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $320K lifetime.
- They placed $24K on No just 3.4 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern they have used across hundreds of events.
- The market saw a 12x volume spike, and copying now may be cheaper than their 78¢ entry.
$24,341 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
14-wallet PSG Yes surge
High-conviction Yes flow from 14 wallets totaling $64k, backed by sharp cross-market bettors and a major price move from roughly 60–76¢ to 80¢.
- 14 wallets bought the same side for $63.9k, pushing PSG Yes up about 22 points.
- One bettor tied to the flow wins 89% of resolved bets across 415 positions.
- Volume is running 16.8x normal, suggesting a major late rush into PSG Yes.
$63,877 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 39447321, $172,079
- 0xad2b...f091 — Outcome 10280131, $99,833 (94% win rate)
- 0x8708...7981 — Outcome 10280131, $82,800
- 0x82da...da33 — Outcome 10280131, $55,570 (62% win rate)
- 0xaad1...b418 — Outcome 10280131, $31,376 (0% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 10280131, $28,575 (53% win rate)
- 0xdf80...3259 — Outcome 10280131, $23,322 (70% win rate)
- 0x499f...ccaf — Outcome 10280131, $21,739 (84% win rate)
- 0x79ff...1603 — Outcome 10280131, $20,000 (93% win rate)
- 0xf2f6...5817 — Outcome 10280131, $20,000 (75% win rate)
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