Part of: UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,738.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, Champions League, UCL
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp buying breakout
A highly profitable wallet with a 92% historical win rate bought PSG Yes into a major upward breakout, though the stake is modest relative to market volume.
- This bettor has won 92% of resolved trades and is up about $2.17M lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 79¢ after PSG’s price jumped 28 points above its prior range.
- The stake is modest, but the wallet’s track record makes the breakout worth following.
$1,535 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Coordinated PSG Yes surge
Coordinated Yes flow at 49¢ came with a huge volume spike and a sharp wallet, though one large leg appears to be closing a prior No position.
- Three wallets pushed the same Yes view with $10.9K at 49¢, ahead of a move to 69¢.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $3.2K lifetime.
- Market volume spiked 663x normal and PSG Yes is up about 20 points in 24 hours.
$10,941 on Yes
Perfect-record sports bettor
A perfect-record cross-market sports trader with $64.7k profit is buying PSG Yes at 50¢ with a bet large relative to recent market activity.
- This bettor is 14-for-14 on resolved bets and is up $64.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events with $105.6k total deployed.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see PSG reaching the final as better than a coin flip.
$4,828 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
71% winner buying YES
Experienced profitable serial cross-market trader bought PSG to reach the final at 51¢, with a large historical sample and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades across 14,689 markets and is up $152K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $918K deployed across 238 events.
- Entry at 51¢ comes after PSG’s odds moved up 8.5 points this week.
$1,172 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a net No position while deploying size across multiple related Champions League markets, though the same-market hedging makes the signal less clean.
- This bettor has won 62% of 755 resolved trades and is up about $871K lifetime.
- They are active across 4 related markets with $41.5K deployed, suggesting a broader Champions League thesis.
- After buying both sides, the net position is larger on No at 50¢.
$21,844 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
New repeat bettor buying YES
A 6-day-old repeat large-bet wallet is re-entering PSG Yes with $2.2k after prior activity on the same market and early profit elsewhere.
- This 6-day-old wallet has now made 4 flagged large bets totaling $7.5k.
- The bettor is already up $600 on one resolved position, though the track record is still very small.
- They previously bought PSG Yes at 45¢ and are now re-entering at 51¢ on a quiet market.
$2,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
3-wallet flip into Yes
Three wallets piled into PSG Yes in a $13.2k one-sided burst, including two traders actively flipping out of prior No positions, alongside an extreme volume spike in a moderately liquid market.
- Three wallets put $13.2k on PSG Yes in minutes, and market volume spiked 3309x versus normal activity.
- Two of the wallets were previously positioned No and exited that view to effectively buy Yes around 43-44¢.
- One flagged wallet is still fairly new and has already made 4 other large bets, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
$13,219 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x9106...afcb — Outcome 77514451, $34,757 (70% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 77514451, $32,338 (53% win rate)
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Outcome 77514451, $17,331 (42% win rate)
- 0xd604...cb5f — Outcome 77514451, $16,262 (69% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Outcome 77514451, $6,785 (66% win rate)
- 0xf20c...9f6d — Outcome 77514451, $4,749
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 77514451, $1,655 (59% win rate)
- 0x921d...efb8 — Outcome 77514451, $1,585
- 0xaa44...0a39 — Outcome 77514451, $1,159 (51% win rate)
- 0xc4b2...9a9b — Outcome 77514451, $1,115 (85% win rate)
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