Part of: Top 14: Pau vs ASM Clermont Auvergne
Will Pau win?
This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether Pau will win its upcoming Rugby Top 14 game scheduled for May 16, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,352 in smart money and 1 signal on this market; it resolves based on the result after 80 minutes of regular play, with a listed resolution date of May 23, 2026.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16 2026 If Pau wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,352.
Categories: Sports, Games, Rugby, Rugby Top 14
Notable Trades
91% winner in thin market
A high-win-rate bettor with positive lifetime P&L made a large Yes buy that dominated volume in a very thin Pau market.
- This bettor has won 91% of 318 resolved bets and is up about $1.3k lifetime.
- The $1.35k buy was 72% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin book.
- They entered Yes at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 79¢.
$1,352 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x2b7d...d2dc — Yes, $1,852 (91% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — No, $1,852
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $41
- 0x9422...f273 — Yes, $19
- 0x88b0...f8d8 — Yes, $17 (61% win rate)
- 0xbeac...bcc1 — Yes, $6
- 0x8d85...726f — Yes, $5
- 0x237f...e76e — No, $5
- 0x8fe7...6c1f — No, $5
- 0x2a25...8055 — Yes, $3
