Part of: Top 14: Montpellier vs Pau

Will Pau win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 30 2026 If Pau wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,710.

Categories: Sports, Games, Rugby, Rugby Top 14

Notable Trades

Profitable serial market hopper

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in an extremely thin market with a bet far larger than recent activity.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 1,614 resolved trades and is up $79k lifetime.
  • The $1.1k No buy was about 48x the market’s recent 24h volume when flagged.
  • They have traded across 73 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports-betting process.

$1,127 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable veteran in thin market

A profitable, very experienced wallet made an outsized No bet in an extremely thin market, moving the price sharply higher.

  • This experienced bettor is up $187k across more than 30k resolved trades.
  • Their $1.6k No buy was about 68x the market’s 24h volume.
  • No jumped from 55¢ to about 79¢ after the trade in a very thin book.

$1,583 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2fa0...be6d Yes, $10,794 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xdbdd...a5de No, $3,837 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x86c8...c867 No, $2,723 (61% win rate)
  4. 0xc0f8...ae2e No, $2,678 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x9868...e82b No, $800
  6. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $488
  7. 0xa328...4977 Yes, $465
  8. 0x2e7c...164d No, $320 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xf59e...f0bf No, $245 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x84f7...ade1 No, $143

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Pau win?

6dTop 14: Montpellier vs Pau$2,710 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesRugbyRugby Top 14
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 30 2026 If Pau wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.

Price History — “No
102¢
76¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Pau win?

3h ago

$1,127 on No at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Will Pau win?

4h ago

$1,583 on No at 55¢

55¢100¢45¢

Related Theses