What does the Philadelphia Union prediction market cover?

This market covers whether Philadelphia Union will win their scheduled match on April 11, 2026. Only the result at the end of regular time plus stoppage time counts, so extra time or penalties are not included.

How does this market resolve if the match ends in a draw?

If the match is drawn after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to No. Philadelphia Union must win in regulation for the market to resolve to Yes.

What happens if the April 11, 2026 match is postponed or canceled?

If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played and completed. If the match is canceled entirely and no make-up game takes place, the market resolves to No.

When will the Philadelphia Union market resolve?

The listed resolution date is April 11, 2026, but the market resolves based on the actual completion of the match. If the game is delayed, resolution will happen after the postponed match is finished.

Why are traders watching the No side in this market?

Recent smart money alerts indicate notable activity backing No, including sharp and whale-related signals. Traders often watch these signals for clues about market sentiment, though they do not guarantee the final outcome.

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

This Polymarket asks whether Philadelphia Union will win their April 11, 2026 match, based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Philadelphia Union wins in regulation, the market resolves to Yes; any draw, loss, or a canceled match without a make-up game resolves to No. The market is set to resolve once the match is completed, with current smart money activity showing notable attention on the No side.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,399.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS

Notable Trades

New wallet repeat bettor

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this match market during an extreme volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking despite no proven history yet.

This wallet is only 2 hours old and has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts totaling $11.5k
The market is seeing a 785x jump in activity, so this bet is landing during a real wave of money
They bought No at 66¢, a fairly direct price for a bettor taking a clear side before kickoff

$1,967 on No

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly active profitable sports trader with 5,217 resolved bets bought No into a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting followable directional conviction despite the modest bet size.

This bettor has won 63% of 5,217 resolved bets and is up about $1.8M lifetime
They bought No at 66¢ as volume ran 785x above normal, showing they joined a strong pre-match move
The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a clean entry rather than a forced fill

$1,052 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

82% winner bets No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate bought No into a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $725k across 358 bets
They trade heavily across related markets — 252 markets over 202 events — which points to a repeatable sports edge
They bought No at 67¢ as volume jumped 443x above normal, backing the favorite before kickoff

$3,484 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

New whale doubling down

A brand-new wallet is making a second large bet on the same soccer market during an extreme volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking.

A wallet less than 2 hours old just made another large bet, with $9.6k total flagged already
The market is seeing a 443x jump in activity, so this bet lines up with unusual one-sided interest
Bought No at 67¢ in a liquid market, showing clear conviction that Philadelphia Union is overpriced

$5,075 on No

82% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate bought No at 67¢ during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.

This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $725k across 358 bets.
They have traded 252 markets across 202 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
They bought No at 67¢ as volume surged more than 400x above normal before kickoff.

$1,476 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sports-style trader with an 82% win rate and nearly $2.0M deployed across 197 events is buying No at 64¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 82% of 358 resolved trades and is up about $725k lifetime
They have bet nearly $2.0M across 197 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off pick
They bought No at 64¢ in a liquid market, implying a solid favorite rather than chasing a panic move

$1,345 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%