Part of: CF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,020.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS

Notable Trades

83% win-rate serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate is re-entering Philadelphia Union No at 76¢ after previously trading the same side, suggesting continued conviction despite only a single signal.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 1,386 resolved trades and has nearly $1.0M of tracked volume
  • They bought No at 76¢ and the market is now 81¢, so the position is already moving their way
  • This wallet trades across hundreds of related markets, which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt

$1,011 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial timer with 82% win rate

A proven sharp sports trader with an 82% win rate and $725k profit made a $15.7k concentrated bet on No just 1 minute before resolution, matching a strong serial late-bet pattern.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $725k on nearly $2.9M invested.
  • They placed $15.7k on No about 1 minute before resolution, and they have 54 similar last-minute bets across 30 markets.
  • This wallet trades heavily across sports events with strong results, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$15,678 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Linked live-betting cluster

A linked 4-wallet cluster piled nearly $16k into Yes just 2 minutes before resolution in a live sports market, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with massive historical profits.

  • Four wallets all bought Yes within 30 seconds, with 3 wallets funded from the same source and $15.9k total behind the move.
  • The lead wallet has made 55 near-resolution bets across 15 markets and shows $3.58M in historical profit.
  • They entered at 35-36¢ and the market is already 41¢, suggesting they saw late-game odds as mispriced.

$15,932 on Yes

New wallet repeat bettor

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this match market during an extreme volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking despite no proven history yet.

  • This wallet is only 2 hours old and has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts totaling $11.5k
  • The market is seeing a 785x jump in activity, so this bet is landing during a real wave of money
  • They bought No at 66¢, a fairly direct price for a bettor taking a clear side before kickoff

$1,967 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly active profitable sports trader with 5,217 resolved bets bought No into a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting followable directional conviction despite the modest bet size.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 5,217 resolved bets and is up about $1.8M lifetime
  • They bought No at 66¢ as volume ran 785x above normal, showing they joined a strong pre-match move
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a clean entry rather than a forced fill

$1,052 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

82% winner bets No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate bought No into a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $725k across 358 bets
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 252 markets over 202 events — which points to a repeatable sports edge
  • They bought No at 67¢ as volume jumped 443x above normal, backing the favorite before kickoff

$3,484 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

New whale doubling down

A brand-new wallet is making a second large bet on the same soccer market during an extreme volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking.

  • A wallet less than 2 hours old just made another large bet, with $9.6k total flagged already
  • The market is seeing a 443x jump in activity, so this bet lines up with unusual one-sided interest
  • Bought No at 67¢ in a liquid market, showing clear conviction that Philadelphia Union is overpriced

$5,075 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

82% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate bought No at 67¢ during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $725k across 358 bets.
  • They have traded 252 markets across 202 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought No at 67¢ as volume surged more than 400x above normal before kickoff.

$1,476 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

82% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sports-style trader with an 82% win rate and nearly $2.0M deployed across 197 events is buying No at 64¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 358 resolved trades and is up about $725k lifetime
  • They have bet nearly $2.0M across 197 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off pick
  • They bought No at 64¢ in a liquid market, implying a solid favorite rather than chasing a panic move

$1,345 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 20874560, $96,253 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 20874560, $45,733 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x8c94...5939 Outcome 20874560, $17,556 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 20874560, $4,959 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x84ad...bfb7 Outcome 20874560, $3,210 (55% win rate)
  6. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 20874560, $1,791
  7. 0xa85b...eb0e Outcome 20874560, $1,198 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x54a6...7401 Outcome 20874560, $1,151 (81% win rate)
  9. 0xe911...3d4e Outcome 20874560, $1,032 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x156e...934e Outcome 20874560, $1,000

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Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

ResolvedCF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union$47,020 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$1,011 on No at 76¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$15,678 on No at 65¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$15,932 on Yes at 36¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$1,967 on No at 66¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$1,052 on No at 66¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$3,484 on No at 67¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$5,075 on No at 67¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$1,476 on No at 67¢

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?

45d ago

$1,345 on No at 64¢

Related Theses