Part of: What will be said on ICEMAN?
Will "Polymarket" be said on ICEMAN?
This prediction market asks whether the term “Polymarket” will be said by anyone in the official transcript of any track on Drake’s expected 2026 album, ICEMAN. It resolves on May 15, 2026, based on the officially released full album, with PolySpotter tracking $1,580 in smart money and 1 smart money signal so far.
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.). If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,580.
Categories: Celebrities, song, Music, Culture, album, Mentions, Drake, Iceman
Notable Trades
New wallet thin-market bet
A brand-new wallet made a relatively large Yes bet that dominated 24h volume on an extremely thin, wide-spread market, though there is no track record yet.
- A 2-day-old wallet put $1,580 on Yes, equal to 62% of this market’s 24h volume.
- The order book is extremely thin with only about $79 of liquidity, so this is a high-conviction bet for a quiet market.
- Entry at 79¢ is well above the current 63¢ odds, suggesting the bettor was willing to pay up for Yes.
$1,580 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x0b9e...98c4 — Yes, $5,413
- 0xe92a...a51c — No, $3,654
- 0x63b6...9c8e — Yes, $519
- 0x244a...07c8 — No, $506 (91% win rate)
- 0xbc60...af79 — No, $284 (65% win rate)
- 0xc9f4...f4f1 — No, $235
- 0xb779...ab22 — No, $200 (79% win rate)
- 0x9e8e...8db8 — No, $193
- 0x564f...7026 — No, $161
- 0xf9ac...806e — No, $100
