Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,090.

Notable Trades

93% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate bought Portland at 36¢ in a market seeing fresh pre-game volume, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $485k across 121 settled positions.
They've traded 265 markets across 220 events, so this looks like a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.
Bought Portland at 36¢ as volume jumped 12.5x, implying they see the true win chance as meaningfully higher.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp 4-wallet sports cluster

Four wallets coordinated a $27k buy into Portland 'No' during a 40x volume spike, led by at least one clearly sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and a broader cluster that has traded 35 related markets across 28 events.

Four wallets piled $27,090 into Portland 'No' within minutes, a strong one-sided signal.
The lead wallet wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $726k, giving this cluster real follow-through credibility.
This hit during a 40x volume spike, but the market has already moved against their entries from 68-70¢ to 64¢.

$27,090 on No

Top Holders

0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 56877272, $7,188 (83% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 56877272, $5,454
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 56877272, $3,668 (68% win rate)
0x781c...db68 — Outcome 56877272, $3,271
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 56877272, $2,969 (60% win rate)
0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 56877272, $2,653
0x6814...a9e7 — Outcome 56877272, $621
0x0f8e...3082 — Outcome 56877272, $612
0x7edb...7993 — Outcome 56877272, $431
0x22d2...82d7 — Outcome 56877272, $410

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?

Resolved$32,090 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If Portland Timbers wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.