Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $540,830.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
13-wallet linked No cluster
A 13-wallet cluster put $77.7k on No, including linked wallets and serial cross-market bettors with strong historical records, despite opposing flow and recent price movement against them.
- 13 wallets put $77.7k on No, with some wallets sharing a funder.
- Several participants have strong records, including serial cross-market bettors with 83%–90% win rates.
- The cluster paid mostly 59¢–79¢, while No is now around 53¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged flow.
$77,744 on No
27-wallet linked No cluster
A large linked 27-wallet cluster and several profitable/serial sports traders piled into No before the market moved to 100%.
- 27 wallets put $134k on No, including 4 wallets tied to the same funder.
- A sharp wallet in the flow has won 19 of 20 resolved bets and is up $36.7k lifetime.
- The No side moved to 100%, so this was a strong read but only copyable if it reopens below 95¢.
$133,972 on No
91% winner sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is buying No on the draw market, supported by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $101k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record: 51 events, 54 markets, and $183k traded.
- Buying No at 74¢ suggests confidence that Portugal vs. Croatia does not end level in regular time.
$1,253 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner backs No
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 94% record placed a $46.8k BUY on No in a highly liquid Portugal-Croatia draw market.
- This bettor has won 45 of 48 resolved trades and is up $26.6k lifetime.
- They placed a large $46.8k bet on No at 74¢, showing strong conviction against a draw.
- Market volume is surging before the match, with 24h trading above $1.29M.
$46,777 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
22-wallet Yes cluster with sharps
A large 22-wallet Yes cluster put $133k into the draw outcome alongside major volume and price movement, with several historically strong wallets participating despite some opposing No flow.
- 22 wallets pushed $133k onto Yes, and the price jumped from the 30s to 68¢ in under a day.
- Several participants have strong records, including one bettor who has won 95% of 41 resolved bets and another at 83% over 338.
- This is a volatile market with heavy money on both sides, but the Yes flow is large, coordinated, and already moving price.
$133,137 on Yes
91% winner sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is buying No on the draw market, supported by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $101k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record: 51 events, 54 markets, and $183k traded.
- Buying No at 74¢ suggests confidence that Portugal vs. Croatia does not end level in regular time.
$1,273 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
81% winner buying draw
Sharp cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate and $214k lifetime profit bought Portugal-Croatia draw at 26¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $214k lifetime.
- They have traded across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 26¢ implies a nearly 4x payout if Portugal vs. Croatia ends level.
$1,284 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly profitable bettor with a 75% record over 1,005 resolved markets bought No on the draw, making the wallet itself the copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved markets and is up $2.18M lifetime.
- They have traded across 622 events with $6.65M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying No at 74¢ means they are fading the draw in a very liquid match market.
$4,636 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable new sports whale
A 3-day-old wallet with early perfect results and $18.6k profit is making another large $22.5k bet on Portugal-Croatia not ending in a draw.
- This new wallet is 5-for-5 so far and already up $18.6k.
- It has now made 3 large flagged bets totaling $48.7k in just 3 days.
- A $22.5k buy on No at 75¢ shows strong confidence against the draw.
$22,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
90% winner buying draw
Surfaced due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 90% record and $4.16M lifetime profit despite the alert being only a modest pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $4.16M lifetime.
- They bought the draw at 25¢, implying a 4x payout if Portugal vs. Croatia finishes level.
- The market is seeing a 185x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum to the sharp-wallet signal.
$2,399 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 72169242, $1,005,692
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 51119174, $248,346 (88% win rate)
- 0x6639...0e59 — Outcome 51119174, $200,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 51119174, $199,999 (99% win rate)
- 0xd3e7...ea94 — Outcome 51119174, $66,427 (76% win rate)
- 0xe3cb...ac21 — Outcome 51119174, $51,680 (65% win rate)
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 51119174, $22,642 (86% win rate)
- 0xeb51...26dc — Outcome 51119174, $21,333
- 0xb715...c3bb — Outcome 51119174, $19,416 (100% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 51119174, $14,547 (89% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close
Covers 3 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
