Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,041,674.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Proven sports bettor fades favorite

Sharp sports wallet with a 79% win rate across 112 resolved positions is buying Portugal No at 44¢ despite Portugal being favored.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 112 positions.
They are profitable lifetime and have beaten market odds by a wide margin.
Buying No at 44¢ goes against Portugal’s 57% market-implied favorite status.

$2,053 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp bettor exits No

High-conviction signal from a proven 80% bettor exiting No, alongside 55 wallets pushing the same Yes direction before Portugal moved to 100%.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $101,931 lifetime.
55 wallets were all on the same Yes direction, totaling $289,201 in the scan window.
The effective Yes entry was 23¢ before the market moved to 100%, so this is a strong historical signal but no longer chaseable.

$1,598 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite bettor plus 55-wallet surge

Elite profitable sports bettor bought Portugal Yes at 90¢ alongside a 55-wallet one-sided surge, and the market has since moved to 100¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
55 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $289K in one-sided flow.
Entry at 90¢ was quickly validated by the move to 100¢, but it should not be chased above 95¢.

$1,219 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

New whale joins No wave

A profitable 2-day-old repeat whale sold Yes into a much larger 30-wallet No wave that has moved Portugal from 48% to 29%.

30 wallets are all betting against Portugal, with $425k flowing to the No side.
This new 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times and is up $1.7k across early positions.
The trade sold Yes at 48¢ before the market fell to 29¢, alongside a 47x volume spike.

$5,241 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor joins 30-wallet No wave

Sharp 86% winner bought Portugal No before a major one-sided move, backed by 30-wallet coordinated flow and a 33% price jump.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.0k lifetime.
30 wallets bought the same No side for $425k, with linked funding in the cluster.
They entered No at 48¢ before it moved to 71¢, showing strong momentum behind the trade.

$3,342 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp joins 23-wallet No wave

Sharp 79% winner is joining a large 23-wallet one-sided move buying No on Portugal, backed by major coordinated flow and a volume spike.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $24,855 lifetime.
23 wallets are all buying No, totaling nearly $495K in the same direction.
Market volume spiked 46x above normal, suggesting a major rush into this view.

$1,605 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Perfect-record bettor joins No cluster

A perfect-record sports bettor bought No alongside a large 23-wallet one-sided cluster, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market's high liquidity.

This bettor has won 27 of 27 resolved positions and is up $39k lifetime.
23 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $495k in one-sided flow.
Market volume spiked 46x while No is being bought at 46¢, suggesting coordinated conviction.

$1,408 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp wallet joins No cluster

Sharp 86% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Portugal No at 46¢ amid a large one-sided cluster of 23 wallets totaling about $495k.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $93k lifetime.
23 wallets are all betting Portugal No, totaling about $495k in the same direction.
Entry at 46¢ implies they see Portugal failing to win as underpriced despite heavy market volume.

$2,819 on No | Wallet win rate: 45%

83% sharp joins 37-wallet push

Proven 83% winning wallet is buying Yes alongside a large 37-wallet one-sided push and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $182k lifetime.
37 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $214k in one-sided flow.
Market volume spiked 41x before the game, with Yes already moving up 5.8% today.

$2,659 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

New profitable wallet in 18-wallet flow

A brand-new profitable wallet is buying Portugal alongside a large 18-wallet one-sided flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.

A 20-hour-old wallet has already made $7,950 profit and is adding another $5,000 on Portugal.
18 wallets are all betting the same way, with $110,344 flowing into Yes.
Volume is running 12.3x above normal ahead of the match, supporting the move.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0x7225...659a — Outcome 36793987, $1,366,979 (93% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 36793987, $1,005,692
0x9d5d...e218 — Outcome 36793987, $743,860 (83% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 36793987, $651,978 (88% win rate)
0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 36793987, $239,999 (99% win rate)
0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 36793987, $100,000 (61% win rate)
0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 36793987, $99,999 (61% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 36793987, $94,881 (56% win rate)
0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 36793987, $79,363 (64% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 36793987, $76,371

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Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

ResolvedPortugal vs. Croatia$1,041,674 tracked50 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Portugal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.