Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $799,338.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying Yes

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster into a massive pre-match volume spike, backing Rayo at 38¢.

  • This bettor has won 2,522 of 3,474 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $27.1k total as volume ran 91.6x above normal
  • They bought Rayo at 38¢ after a sharp recent drop, suggesting they see the odds as too cheap

$7,468 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Pro sports sharp in volume spike

A very high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit is buying into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a worthwhile follow despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 2,522 of 3,474 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 929 events and $8.6M in total volume suggests a real process
  • They bought Yes at 39¢ while market volume surged 63.7x versus normal activity

$1,359 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

76% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate sold Yes at 39¢, which converts to buying No at 61¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $1.0M across more than 900 resolved bets.
  • They trade across 183 markets and 173 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hot streak.
  • This sale of Yes at 39¢ converts to buying No at 61¢, aligning with the market already drifting against Rayo by 6 points in 1 day.

$1,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp cluster piling into No

Coordinated one-sided flow put $141.8k behind No in a high-volume soccer market, led by a sharp 76% win-rate wallet and backed by multiple serial cross-market traders.

  • Four wallets aligned on No for $141.8k, with one wallet alone buying $118.6k at 62¢
  • One bettor in the group wins 76% of 909 resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime
  • Market volume is running 91.6x normal and the price has moved hard this week, showing real momentum behind the move

$141,757 on No

New wallet in 4-wallet cluster

A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets and is part of a 4-wallet one-sided cluster buying No into a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching.

  • A 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts with $15.4k flagged total
  • 4 wallets bought the same side for $24.2k as volume surged more than 6,300x normal
  • They entered No around 57¢, a fairly concentrated bet in a fast-moving pregame market

$3,091 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp 3-wallet soccer cluster

Three wallets all bought Rayo Yes together, including one bettor with an 80% win rate and $3.1M profit and another up $324k, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the market's high liquidity.

  • Two profitable bettors piled in together, led by a wallet that wins 80% of 1,293 bets and is up $3.1M.
  • All 3 wallets bought Yes within 12 minutes, putting $7.6k on the same side at 37-38¢.
  • They are serial cross-market traders across 174 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt.

$7,631 on Yes

Profitable cluster betting No

A highly active and profitable sports trader joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into No during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth surfacing despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 4,911 resolved trades and is up $688k lifetime
  • 4 wallets bought the same side for $24.2k total as volume spiked 6,324x above normal
  • They bought No around 57¢, backing the favorite after the market had already drifted 10 points in a week

$1,888 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

5-wallet late-match pile-in

Five wallets, including two linked by funding, piled $632k into No minutes before a live soccer market resolved amid an extreme volume spike, making this a strong coordinated late-information signal despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Five wallets bought $632k of No in under 3 minutes before resolution, including two linked wallets moving together.
  • Market volume exploded 6,027x above normal, and this cluster alone was about half of all 24h volume.
  • They paid 56-58¢ for No, implying they believed Rayo's win chance was meaningfully below the market's 44% Yes price.

$632,545 on No

82% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate and nearly $989k in profit just bought No at 57¢ in this soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $989k lifetime
  • They have bet across 343 markets and 277 events, so this is a proven repeat performer rather than a one-off whale
  • They bought No at 57¢, close to the current 56¢ market price, after this market had already moved 8 points in one day

$2,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2eb1...4ea4 Outcome 11854862, $1,290,521
  2. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 11854862, $49,889 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 11854862, $43,985 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 11854862, $32,861 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x84ad...bfb7 Outcome 11854862, $15,590 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x525e...0b73 Outcome 11854862, $13,962
  7. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 11854862, $7,529 (76% win rate)
  8. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 11854862, $4,844 (81% win rate)
  9. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 11854862, $3,671
  10. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 11854862, $3,458 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

ResolvedRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona$799,338 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$7,468 on Yes at 38¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$1,359 on Yes at 39¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$1,060 on No at 61¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$141,757 on No at 62¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$3,091 on No at 57¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$7,631 on Yes at 37¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$1,888 on No at 57¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

39d ago

$632,545 on No at 57¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?

45d ago

$2,540 on No at 57¢

Related Theses