Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

This prediction market asks whether Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will win their scheduled La Liga match on May 11, 2026, based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Rayo wins, the market resolves Yes; a draw, loss, or full cancellation with no make-up game resolves No, while a postponement keeps the market open until the match is played. PolySpotter is tracking $1,323 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 11, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,372.

Categories: Soccer, La Liga, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

91% serial sports winner

Sharp serial sports trader with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought No on Rayo Vallecano at 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $110K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 43 events with the same 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying No at 60¢ means they are backing Rayo not to win at a price close to the current market.

$1,151 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No on Rayo at 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $108,655 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 62 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge.
  • Buying No at 60¢ means they are backing Rayo not to win at a still-liquid price.

$1,323 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

79% winner buying No

A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate is buying No into a sharp pre-event volume spike on a liquid soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $13.2K lifetime.
  • They have been flagged 13 times before, suggesting a repeat bettor rather than a one-off wallet.
  • Market volume just spiked over 3,000x normal, and this trade aligns with the current 59¢ No side.

$1,457 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

91% winner buying Yes

A highly proven sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Rayo Yes into a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $43K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 40¢, implying a strong view that the market is underpricing Rayo.
  • Market activity spiked sharply before the match, with this trade making up a meaningful share of recent volume.

$1,440 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x84cf...2f63 Yes, $75,970 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $10,234 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x507e...beae No, $7,912 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x2005...75ea No, $7,000 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xe0db...f44e No, $6,000 (48% win rate)
  6. 0x40b9...b002 No, $6,000
  7. 0x204f...5e14 No, $5,344 (55% win rate)
  8. 0xde04...fa37 Yes, $4,000 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xdd5e...9040 Yes, $3,600 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x4379...2e16 No, $3,000 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Vélez Sarsfield will not win

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Rayo Vallecano will not win

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

17hRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC$5,372 tracked4 signalsSoccerLa LigaSportsGames
Yes
41¢
No
60¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 11, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
62¢
59¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

9m ago

$1,151 on No at 60¢

60¢60¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

32m ago

$1,323 on No at 60¢

60¢60¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

1h ago

$1,457 on No at 59¢

59¢60¢1¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?

1h ago

$1,440 on Yes at 40¢

40¢41¢1¢

Related Theses