Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,955.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

95% winner fading favorite

A proven sharp wallet with a 95% win rate sold Yes at 87¢ into a huge pre-match volume surge, which translates to buying No at 13¢ before the market moved to 100% Yes.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up $1.24M across 585 resolved bets.
  • They faded this market at 87¢ during a 368x volume spike, implying value on No around 13¢.
  • The market was already very active, so this stands out more because of the bettor's track record than the trade size.

$1,712 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp wallet fading favorite

A proven sharp wallet with a 95% win rate joined two other wallets fading RB Leipzig as the market surged, creating notable coordinated contrarian flow at much better prices than the current market.

  • One wallet wins 95% of its bets and is up $1.24M, and it sold Yes at 87¢ while others bought No earlier at 60¢
  • Three wallets all took the same anti-Leipzig side for $5.4k total as this market saw a 52x volume spike
  • The market moved hard toward Yes to 92%, so these entries imply they saw the favorite as overpriced

$5,386 on No

6-wallet sharp cluster

A 6-wallet one-sided cluster put nearly $21k into RB Leipzig Yes during a huge volume spike, and the group includes at least one very strong long-term winner with multi-million-dollar profits.

  • Six wallets piled nearly $21k into Yes in a short burst, a strong one-way signal on this match.
  • One wallet in the group wins 73% of 1,723 bets and is up $3.27M lifetime, while another smaller wallet is 13 for 16.
  • Market volume ran 173x above normal, suggesting broader positioning around this game rather than a random isolated bet.

$20,995 on Yes

Proven sharp sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate and $3.26M P&L is buying RB Leipzig Yes at 67¢, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.

  • This bettor has won 1,249 of 1,720 resolved trades and is up $3.26M lifetime
  • They have bet across 397 events and nearly $3.7M total, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off guess
  • Bought Yes at 67¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they still see value even after the price moved up

$2,322 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor backing Yes

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with 1,720 resolved bets and $3.26M in profit is buying RB Leipzig Yes at 66¢, which is notable even though the alert is driven by a single signal.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,720 resolved trades and is up $3.26M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 394 events and $3.68M tracked suggests a repeatable edge
  • Bought Yes at 66¢ while the market now sits around 68¢, showing early value capture rather than chasing

$1,539 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 31572341, $7,694 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x84ad...bfb7 Outcome 31572341, $4,688
  3. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 31572341, $4,410 (83% win rate)
  4. 0xb17c...e5c2 Outcome 31572341, $3,674
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 31572341, $3,199 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x62ca...1760 Outcome 31572341, $1,897 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 31572341, $1,528 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 31572341, $1,297
  9. 0x447d...bd4a Outcome 31572341, $663
  10. 0x04ec...8ac9 Outcome 31572341, $506

Related Theses

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Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

Resolved$31,955 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If RB Leipzig wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

8d ago

$1,712 on No at 13¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

8d ago

$5,386 on No at 13¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

8d ago

$20,995 on Yes at 67¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

8d ago

$2,322 on Yes at 67¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?

8d ago

$1,539 on Yes at 66¢

Related Theses