Part of: SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If RB Leipzig wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,633.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Profitable live-sports bettor

Profitable, high-volume sports wallet bought RB Leipzig Yes for $6.8k minutes before the market deadline amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $140,885 across 459 resolved bets, with a 59% hit rate.
  • They put $6.8k on Yes at 39¢ just 1.8 minutes before the market deadline.
  • Market activity surged 187x above normal, suggesting heavy late positioning.

$6,825 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Sharp last-minute sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% record and $4.0M profit bought $22.1k of Leipzig Yes at 38¢ just 3 minutes before resolution amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $4.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $22.1k of Yes at 38¢ just 3 minutes before the match market resolved.
  • Market volume spiked 187x normal, suggesting other money was also rushing in late.

$22,112 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying dip

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and over $4M profit bought $13.4k of Yes during a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
  • They put $13.4k on Yes at 38¢ despite Leipzig drifting 10 points over the week.
  • Market volume is surging 236x above its historical average before the match.

$13,432 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying Yes

Surface: a highly profitable 91% sports bettor bought Leipzig Yes into a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $12.9K of Yes at 38¢ despite the price falling 11.5% over the week.
  • Market volume is surging 324x above its historical average ahead of the match.

$12,924 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying dip

Sharp profitable wallet with a 91% resolved win rate bought RB Leipzig Yes into a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $12.1K of Yes at 38¢ despite the price falling 11.5% over the past week.
  • Market volume is surging 354x above its historical average, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.

$12,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying dip

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and $4.0M lifetime profit bought $15.2k of RB Leipzig Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $4.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $15.2k of Yes at 38¢ despite the price falling 10.5 points this week.
  • Market volume is surging over 200x normal, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.

$15,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and $4.0M profit bought $19k of RB Leipzig Yes during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $19k of Yes at 38¢, implying a strong view against the recent price drift lower.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 135x above its historical average.

$19,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying dip

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% record and $4.0M lifetime profit bought $15.2K of RB Leipzig Yes amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $15.2K of Yes at 38¢ despite the price falling 10.5 points this week.
  • Market volume is surging 143x above its historical average before the match.

$15,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is buying RB Leipzig No in line with recent market momentum.

  • This bettor is up $70,408 across 178 resolved markets with a 62% hit rate.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 86 events and $226k in tracked event bets.
  • Buying No at 65¢ aligns with momentum, with Leipzig Yes down 13% over the past week.

$2,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and $138k lifetime profit bought RB Leipzig No at 63¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $138k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 41 events, showing a repeated cross-market sports betting pattern.
  • Buying No at 63¢ goes with the recent move against Leipzig, with Yes down 11.5% over the week.

$1,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0eb5...c494 Yes, $633,268 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x507e...beae No, $159,390 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xea2b...1fc6 No, $138,000 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x9b1e...82c9 No, $46,433 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x5257...3e2a No, $40,000 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b No, $39,049 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x204f...5e14 No, $37,197 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x2a91...c6b1 No, $22,362 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x9495...9a27 No, $21,047 (64% win rate)
  10. 0x48fe...b2b6 Yes, $20,000 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedSC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig$120,633 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga
Yes
36¢
No
65¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If RB Leipzig wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
66¢
58¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

7m ago

$6,825 on Yes at 39¢

39¢36¢3¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

7m ago

$22,112 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

15m ago

$13,432 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

21m ago

$12,924 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

27m ago

$12,080 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

32m ago

$15,200 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

37m ago

$19,000 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

44m ago

$15,200 on Yes at 38¢

38¢36¢2¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

1h ago

$2,600 on No at 65¢

65¢65¢

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

2h ago

$1,260 on No at 63¢

63¢65¢2¢

Related Theses