Three wallets bought No at 83-85¢ before it jumped to 98¢, so the move already validated their read. One wallet wins 65% of 2,665 resolved bets and is up $450k lifetime, giving this cluster at least one proven sharp bettor. Volume ran 42x above normal and these wallets have bet 39 related events across 49 markets, suggesting a repeatable event-trading pattern.

Part of: RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,829.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

3-wallet steam move

Three wallets piled into No before a sharp move from 83-85¢ to 98¢, led by one bettor with a strong long-run record and backed by unusual event-wide volume.

Three wallets bought No at 83-85¢ before it jumped to 98¢, so the move already validated their read.
One wallet wins 65% of 2,665 resolved bets and is up $450k lifetime, giving this cluster at least one proven sharp bettor.
Volume ran 42x above normal and these wallets have bet 39 related events across 49 markets, suggesting a repeatable event-trading pattern.

$7,654 on No

High-win-rate sports grinder

This is worth surfacing because a very active sports trader with an 80% hit rate across thousands of resolved bets is taking a fresh side at 26¢, even though the market itself is liquid and only one signal fired.

This bettor wins 80% of 3,140 resolved trades, showing a long track record of picking winners
They bought Draw at 26¢, a low-priced outcome that could pay about 3.8x if correct
The market is active and liquid, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than a random punt

$2,175 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 33496424, $4,086 (55% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 33496424, $2,945 (63% win rate)
0xa266...67f7 — Outcome 33496424, $2,544 (92% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 74201161, $1,746
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 33496424, $1,299 (63% win rate)
0xe1b1...3cd5 — Outcome 33496424, $903
0x33e6...0244 — Outcome 33496424, $893 (32% win rate)
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 33496424, $500
0x7edb...7993 — Outcome 33496424, $301
0x86be...4490 — Outcome 33496424, $293 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

ResolvedRC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo$9,829 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.