Part of: RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,778.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp serial soccer bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is buying Celta Yes at 35 cents.

This bettor wins 85% of 252 resolved trades and is up $518,394 lifetime.
The trader has beaten average implied odds by 38 percentage points, indicating a meaningful edge rather than ordinary favorite buying.
They are buying Yes at 35 cents while the market has recently drifted down 5.5% over a week.

$1,438 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial bettor buys No

A highly active, profitable bettor with 1,872 resolved trades and a strong win rate placed a sizable $9,567 bet on No.

This bettor wins 68% of 1,872 resolved trades and is up more than $1 million lifetime.
They placed a sizable $9,567 position on No at 65¢, despite the market being nearly fairly priced at 66%.
The wallet has traded across 806 events and more than 1,000 markets, providing a substantial track record to study.

$9,567 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Four-wallet No betting surge

A $53.8K four-wallet No cluster, backed by a major volume spike and a highly profitable participant, moved the market from roughly 66% to 70%.

Four wallets committed $53,774 to No, including one bettor with $6.1M in lifetime profit.
Trading volume was 359x its historical average, and No moved from roughly 66% to 70%.
Several wallets were adding to existing No positions, reinforcing the coordinated conviction despite mixed track records.

$53,774 on No

94% win-rate bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,000 Yes bet at 40%.

This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved positions and is up $13,881.
The $1,000 Yes purchase at 40¢ implies strong conviction that Celta's true chance is meaningfully above the market's 40%.
The trade represents a sizable share of the market's $2,513 in 24-hour volume.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x3ea2...e8e5 — Outcome 10515003, $75,000 (42% win rate)
0xc974...b33b — Outcome 10515003, $17,510 (88% win rate)
0xe0ac...de2a — Outcome 10515003, $9,000 (53% win rate)
0x5343...3e2f — Outcome 10515003, $8,453 (100% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 10515003, $7,500 (99% win rate)
0x208c...6b98 — Outcome 10515003, $6,985 (70% win rate)
0x282f...7c4e — Outcome 10515003, $4,107 (87% win rate)
0x8a47...3b21 — Outcome 10515003, $2,146 (93% win rate)
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 10515003, $1,849 (71% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 10515003, $1,730

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30?

ResolvedRC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club$65,778 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 30, 2026 If RC Celta de Vigo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

68¢

63¢

58¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction