Part of: RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 7, 2026 If RC Strasbourg Alsace wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,751,694.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Europa Conference League

Notable Trades

16-wallet sharp late No push

High-conviction late No flow from 16 wallets, including multiple highly profitable serial sports traders, moved the market sharply from around 50¢ to 88¢ near resolution.

  • 16 wallets bought $108K of No near the end of the match, pushing No from about 50¢ to 88¢.
  • Several buyers have elite records, including wallets winning 90%–95% of resolved bets with six-figure profits.
  • One serial last-minute bettor placed this 1.6 minutes before resolution and has $420K in profit from similar timing patterns.

$107,696 on No

Serial timer with 91% win rate

Elite 91% winner with strong last-minute timing edge bought No at 50¢ alongside a large 15-wallet one-sided flow, and the market has already moved sharply toward No.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $420,721 lifetime.
  • They bought No 1.6 minutes before resolution, matching a repeated last-minute betting pattern across 6 markets.
  • 15 wallets also bought No for $106,133 total, and the price moved from 50¢ to 88¢.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

95% serial timer buys NO

Elite 95% win-rate serial timer bought $17.3k of No minutes before resolution, alongside a large 15-wallet same-side cluster and major price move.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $360k lifetime.
  • They bought $17.3k of No at 50¢ less than 2 minutes before resolution; No is now 88¢.
  • 15 wallets backed the same side for $106k during a huge late volume spike.

$17,304 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

90% winner in 15-wallet push

A proven 90% winner joined a 15-wallet one-sided live-sports push on No minutes before resolution, and the price already surged from 50¢ to 88¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $54K on $133K invested.
  • 15 wallets bought the same No side for $106K, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • The trade hit 1.6 minutes before resolution at 50¢, and No has already moved to 88¢.

$1,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

$1.6M late Yes cluster

Massive $1.6M live-sports Yes cluster near resolution with profitable wallets and an extreme volume spike, though price has moved against them and there is smaller opposing No flow.

  • Seven wallets put $1.6M on Yes in a live match, with most buys around 50¢ just before resolution.
  • One major Yes bettor is up $939K on $1.83M invested, and another has won 91% of 267 resolved bets.
  • The market has since fallen to 38¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster paid but showing the trade is moving against them.

$1,619,006 on Yes

89% winner buying YES

Proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Strasbourg Yes near even odds.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $26,575 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 25 sports events with the same 89% hit rate.
  • Entry at 49¢ is near even odds, implying they see Strasbourg as underpriced.

$2,737 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x91ee...c5b8 Yes, $3,407,745 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x9495...9a27 No, $1,399,290 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x57cd...a0fb No, $352,400 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x6b6f...ce60 No, $289,976 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x709e...66f5 No, $287,822 (54% win rate)
  6. 0xe72b...b0a0 No, $149,200 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x39d3...9ef0 No, $109,847 (44% win rate)
  8. 0x37e4...c991 No, $100,000 (75% win rate)
  9. 0xc41d...74fd No, $88,000 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x5c3a...020b No, $60,000 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

ResolvedRC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid$1,751,694 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerEuropa Conference League
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 7, 2026 If RC Strasbourg Alsace wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

2h ago

$107,696 on No at 88¢

88¢100¢12¢

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

3h ago

$3,000 on No at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

3h ago

$17,304 on No at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

3h ago

$1,950 on No at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

3h ago

$1,619,006 on Yes at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?

4h ago

$2,737 on Yes at 49¢

49¢0¢49¢

Related Theses