Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

This Polymarket asks whether RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will finish level in La Liga on April 12, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the match is a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No if either team wins in regulation. If the match is canceled without a make-up game, the market resolves to Yes.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $24,489.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor on draw

A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.65M profit bought $24.5k into a match-draw market during an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a credible signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.65M across nearly $24.8M invested.
  • They put $24.5k on Yes at 32¢ while this market saw a 434x volume spike before kickoff.
  • Entry at 32¢ suggests they see the draw as materially more likely than the market's current 30-31¢ pricing.

$24,489 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a6c...0b3f Yes, $155,331 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 No, $52,209 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $15,295 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 No, $10,901 (54% win rate)
  5. 0x7ea5...de7b No, $10,788 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x7236...ea53 No, $8,000 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x4133...5e70 No, $7,587 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xec8d...dd71 No, $6,028 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x374a...03ed No, $6,000 (92% win rate)
  10. 0xc2c8...5471 No, $5,000 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

2h$24,489 tracked1 signalSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
31¢
No
70¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
74¢
71¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

2h ago

$24,489 on Yes at 32¢

32¢31¢1¢

Related Theses

Mallorca vs Rayo Draw Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter