Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 21, 2026 If RCD Mallorca wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,916.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

76% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 76% win rate bought Mallorca Yes at 37¢, and the market has since moved sharply against that entry, creating a potentially notable follow-worthy contrarian setup.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 909 resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
  • They trade across 170 events and 180 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Yes at 37¢, while the market now sits near 18¢ after a sharp drop, making this a clear conviction call to study.

$1,839 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp trio buying Yes

Three wallets piled into Mallorca Yes, including two highly profitable serial cross-market bettors with strong long-term records, making this coordinated buy flow worth watching despite the small size relative to market liquidity.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: one wins 76% of 909 bets and is up $1.0M, another wins 91% of 864 bets and is up $2.0M.
  • All 3 wallets bet the same side for $5.8k total, turning a No sale into the same Mallorca Yes view.
  • They bought around 25¢-71¢, with the market now near 30¢ after a sharp move, so the clearest follow is only if Yes stays close to the cheaper entries.

$5,802 on Yes

91% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven sports-style bettor with a 91% win rate bought into a major pre-event volume surge, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across events — 219 markets and 167 events suggest a repeatable edge, not a one-off bet
  • This buy came during a 905x volume spike as the price surged to 71¢, showing strong momentum behind the same side

$2,436 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable contrarian sports bettor

A highly active and profitable sports bettor with nearly $669k in profit is taking the contrarian No side into a massive pre-match volume surge after a sharp move toward Yes.

  • This bettor has 4,712 resolved trades, wins 67% of them, and is up about $669k lifetime.
  • They bought No at 29¢ after the market surged to 70% Yes, taking the cheaper contrarian side.
  • Trading hit a 906x spike versus normal activity, showing unusual attention on this match.

$1,114 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 91% win-rate serial cross-market bettor put $6.5k into this match despite a sharp, unusual price move, making it worth watching even though the entry was much higher than the current market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of 864 resolved trades and is up nearly $2.0M lifetime.
  • They trade across 166 events and 218 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Their buy came during a huge volume spike and after a 32-point price breakout, showing strong conviction even though the market has since dropped.

$6,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

6-wallet sharp cluster

Six wallets, including one with a 94% win rate and another up $2.19M, piled into No within minutes during a 101x volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth following.

  • Six wallets all bought No within 3 minutes, and 3 of them share a funding source.
  • This group includes a bettor winning 94% of trades and another wallet up $2.19M lifetime.
  • They entered around 63-64¢ during a 101x volume spike, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random single bet.

$10,742 on No

95% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% win rate and broad cross-market history just bought No at 63¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their resolved trades and is up about $163k across 79 settled positions.
  • They have bet across 33 events and 34 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought No at 63¢, implying they see Mallorca's win chance as lower than the current 38% Yes price.

$2,472 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 No, $49,169 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x56c9...0d9e Yes, $46,022 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x01c7...e995 No, $21,563 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x3625...1187 Yes, $20,661 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x9007...2421 Yes, $16,141
  6. 0xa16a...33a1 No, $15,051 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x2a91...c6b1 Yes, $11,770 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea No, $10,421 (54% win rate)
  9. 0x4133...5e70 Yes, $10,289 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x1fd6...95e3 Yes, $10,003 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

Resolved$30,916 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
2¢
No
99¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 21, 2026 If RCD Mallorca wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
81¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

17m ago

$1,839 on Yes at 37¢

37¢2¢35¢

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

28m ago

$5,802 on Yes at 30¢

30¢2¢28¢

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

35m ago

$2,436 on Yes at 71¢

71¢2¢69¢

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

35m ago

$1,114 on No at 29¢

29¢99¢70¢

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

49m ago

$6,511 on Yes at 71¢

71¢2¢69¢

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

2h ago

$10,742 on No at 63¢

63¢99¢36¢

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?

3h ago

$2,472 on No at 63¢

63¢99¢36¢

Related Theses