Part of: Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $289,756.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
91% winner leads Yes cluster
A high-conviction $215,000 Yes cluster includes a bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial additional buying despite the price falling to 68%.
- Four wallets bought $215,000 of Yes, with the largest bettor adding nearly $197,000 to an existing position.
- One participating bettor has won 91% of 44 resolved trades while buying at average winning odds of just 51%.
- The buying occurred around 69–71¢ even as the market fell to 68%, signaling strong conviction in Real Madrid.
$214,965 on Yes
Serial trader with proven edge
A highly experienced serial trader with 100,064 resolved bets and a meaningful win rate above their average winning entry price made a fresh $3,761 Yes bet amid a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 100,064 resolved bets and is up $667,676 lifetime.
- The $3,761 Yes purchase came during a 12.7x historical volume spike, while the market has risen 10% over the past week.
- The entry at 81¢ implies the trader sees Real Madrid's win probability as worth backing even at a heavily favored price.
$3,761 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable bettor adds to Real Madrid Yes
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding to a large existing Real Madrid Yes position at 73%, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 7,547 resolved trades and is up $689,280 lifetime.
- The wallet already held $11,481 of Yes shares at 72¢ and added another $2,010 at 73¢.
- The market has moved 3% higher over the past day, consistent with the wallet’s bullish positioning.
$1,730 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable bettor adds to Real Madrid Yes
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding to a large existing Real Madrid Yes position at 73%, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 7,547 resolved trades and is up $689,280 lifetime.
- The wallet already held $11,481 of Yes shares at 72¢ and added another $2,010 at 73¢.
- The market has moved 3% higher over the past day, consistent with the wallet’s bullish positioning.
$2,831 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Sharp bettor buys Real Madrid Yes
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and 31% edge bought Real Madrid Yes amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 89% of 2,571 resolved trades and is up $3.4 million.
- The $1,101 Yes purchase at 79¢ aligns with a 38.2x historical volume spike and recent 9% weekly price rise.
- The trader has deployed $12.9 million across 1,370 events, making this more than an isolated bet.
$1,101 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable bettor adds to Real Madrid Yes
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding to a large existing Real Madrid Yes position at 73%, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 7,547 resolved trades and is up $689,280 lifetime.
- The wallet already held $11,481 of Yes shares at 72¢ and added another $2,010 at 73¢.
- The market has moved 3% higher over the past day, consistent with the wallet’s bullish positioning.
$1,671 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Sharp bettor scales into Real Madrid
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge is adding $3,500 to an existing Real Madrid Yes position.
- This bettor wins 82% of 164 resolved trades and is up $187,587 lifetime.
- Their results substantially beat the prices paid, with a 57% average entry price versus an 82% win rate.
- The wallet is adding $3,500 to an existing Yes position at 78%, while Real Madrid has recently risen 7% over the week.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable bettor adds to Real Madrid Yes
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding to a large existing Real Madrid Yes position at 73%, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 7,547 resolved trades and is up $689,280 lifetime.
- The wallet already held $11,481 of Yes shares at 72¢ and added another $2,010 at 73¢.
- The market has moved 3% higher over the past day, consistent with the wallet’s bullish positioning.
$2,707 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable bettor adds to Real Madrid Yes
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding to a large existing Real Madrid Yes position at 73%, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 7,547 resolved trades and is up $689,280 lifetime.
- The wallet already held $11,481 of Yes shares at 72¢ and added another $2,010 at 73¢.
- The market has moved 3% higher over the past day, consistent with the wallet’s bullish positioning.
$4,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable bettor adds to Real Madrid Yes
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding to a large existing Real Madrid Yes position at 73%, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 7,547 resolved trades and is up $689,280 lifetime.
- The wallet already held $11,481 of Yes shares at 72¢ and added another $2,010 at 73¢.
- The market has moved 3% higher over the past day, consistent with the wallet’s bullish positioning.
$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 16458274, $600,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 16458274, $555,555 (86% win rate)
- 0x1c27...b1ba — Outcome 16458274, $156,662 (100% win rate)
- 0x8b32...5950 — Outcome 16458274, $128,896 (45% win rate)
- 0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 16458274, $95,944 (65% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 16458274, $50,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 16458274, $44,444 (52% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 16458274, $40,416 (88% win rate)
- 0x9e3a...e974 — Outcome 16458274, $31,899 (70% win rate)
- 0xee0b...e6d4 — Outcome 16458274, $29,877 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
Türkiye avoids defeat
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil-Japan match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
Türkiye-US match gets played
Covers 3 related markets
Japan-Sweden match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
Several favorites could win the World Cup
Covers 7 related markets
Argentina will not win
Covers 3 related markets
