Part of: Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $267,179.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, Games, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in 48-wallet Yes cluster

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate bought Yes alongside 47 other linked wallets, creating an unusually strong coordinated signal despite the subsequent price collapse.

  • This bettor wins 94% of trades across 89 resolved positions and is up $383,393.
  • Forty-eight wallets funded through four linked sources bought Yes, totaling nearly $393,000.
  • The trade entered at 63¢, but Yes has since fallen to 0¢, making the current price action a major risk and requiring careful verification of market status.

$2,783 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

48-wallet cluster follows perfect bettor

A proven 100% winner and a 48-wallet linked cluster backed Yes heavily, though the trader was adding to an existing position and the market now shows 0% Yes.

  • This bettor has won all 24 resolved positions, with an average entry of 67% and $82,311 in reported profit.
  • Forty-eight linked wallets bought Yes in the same direction, committing nearly $393,000 collectively.
  • The trade added to an existing Yes position, while the market now displays 0% Yes, making this an unusually high-risk and potentially stale signal.

$6,866 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

18-wallet No betting cluster

An 18-wallet, $146,000 No cluster includes several profitable bettors and coincided with a 28-point move, though a larger opposing Yes cluster makes the signal contested.

  • Eighteen wallets bought No for a combined $146,409, with No rising roughly 28 percentage points.
  • Several participants have strong records, including one bettor up $438,762 and another winning 75% of 150 resolved bets.
  • The signal is contested by a larger 48-wallet Yes cluster backed by a linked four-wallet funder, so conviction is not one-sided overall.

$146,409 on No

48-wallet linked Yes cluster

A 48-wallet linked cluster placed nearly $393,000 on Yes, making this a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite the trader's limited track record and subsequent price collapse.

  • Forty-eight linked wallets bought Yes for a combined $392,953, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
  • This wallet added $2,738 to an existing Yes position and has repeated large bets despite being only six days old.
  • The trade entered at 62¢, but Yes later fell to 0¢, making the signal high-risk and potentially stale.

$2,738 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Seven-wallet cluster with sharp bettors

Seven wallets added $51,467 to Yes, including two profitable 85% bettors, making this a notable coordinated position despite several wallets already holding the outcome.

  • Seven wallets bought Yes for $51,467 at 67¢, creating strong one-sided conviction in a liquid sports market.
  • Two participants win 85% of their bets and are up a combined $59,935, providing meaningful supporting evidence.
  • Most wallets were adding to existing Yes positions, so the signal reflects increased conviction rather than entirely new information.

$39,741 on Yes

Elite bettor buys Real Madrid

A highly experienced and profitable bettor with an 87% win rate and $9.98M lifetime profit made a fresh $51,000 purchase at the market price.

  • This bettor wins 87% of trades across 586 resolved positions and is up nearly $10.0M.
  • They placed a fresh $51,000 bet on Yes at 68¢, signaling meaningful conviction in Real Madrid.
  • The wallet has traded over 1,000 markets across 927 events, providing an unusually large track record to follow.

$51,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% winner adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing No position despite Real Madrid being priced as a 70% favorite.

  • This bettor has won 91 of 98 resolved trades and is up $54,334 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,395 to an existing No position at 31¢, signaling increased conviction against the 70% Yes price.
  • The wallet has traded across 26 events with a documented 93% win rate, making this more than a one-off bet.

$1,395 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite sharp backs Real Madrid

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.38M profit is making a fresh $9.2K purchase in a market that has already risen 15% this week.

  • This bettor wins 90% of 1,992 resolved trades and is up $3.38M lifetime.
  • They made a fresh $9,188 purchase of Yes at 70¢, rather than merely managing an existing position.
  • The market has climbed 15% over the past week, reinforcing the bettor's bullish direction.

$9,188 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial bettor buys Real Madrid

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge bought $2,399 of Real Madrid Yes at 66%.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 1,071 resolved trades and is up $1.36 million lifetime.
  • They actively trade across 390 events and 593 markets, suggesting substantial market experience rather than a one-off wager.
  • The $2,399 Yes position reinforces a market already moving upward, with odds up 12.5% over the past week.

$2,399 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Elite serial bettor buys Real Madrid

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.14M profit is buying Real Madrid at 66% in a steadily rising market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 7,872 resolved trades and is up $1.14M lifetime.
  • The entry is at 66% despite a strong 12.5% weekly market rise, signaling continued conviction.
  • Their results substantially exceed the 57% average odds paid across prior bets, indicating a genuine edge.

$1,320 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 19298731, $75,000 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xd696...8a49 Outcome 19298731, $41,800 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 19298731, $32,756 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x1660...5598 Outcome 19298731, $30,000 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x5016...1eeb Outcome 19298731, $28,609 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x2ce0...97af Outcome 19298731, $22,241 (79% win rate)
  7. 0x0b08...02ab Outcome 19298731, $22,000 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x73c5...2f80 Outcome 19298731, $16,228 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x3ea2...e8e5 Outcome 19298731, $15,000 (42% win rate)
  10. 0xe0ac...de2a Outcome 19298731, $15,000 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

England Ghana ends 1-1

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina-Austria stays low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Tunisia keeps Japan close

Covers 4 related markets

Iran New Zealand odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals

Covers 4 related markets

Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina advances in goalfest

Covers 5 related markets

Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

ResolvedReal Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF$267,179 tracked11 signalsSportsSoccerGamesLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 4, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
100¢
64¢
28¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

6d ago

$2,783 on Yes at 63¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

6d ago

$6,866 on Yes at 67¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

6d ago

$146,409 on No at 33¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

6d ago

$2,738 on Yes at 62¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

7d ago

$39,741 on Yes at 67¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

7d ago

$51,000 on Yes at 68¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

7d ago

$1,395 on No at 31¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

9d ago

$9,188 on Yes at 70¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

10d ago

$2,399 on Yes at 66¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

11d ago

$1,320 on Yes at 66¢

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

13d ago

$3,340 on No at 44¢

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus
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Spread: Germany (-3.5)Spread: Germany (-5.5)Spread: Germany (-4.5)
England Ghana ends 1-1
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England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Spread: England (-1.5)
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
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Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Hal…
Tunisia keeps Japan close
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Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
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Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
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Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half …
Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 6 related markets
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Argentina advances in goalfest
Wallet_0xc2890 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Tea…Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st…Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st…
Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: …