Part of: Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-23?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,994.
Categories: Games, Soccer, MLS, Sports
Notable Trades
77% winner joins Yes surge
Strong one-sided Real Salt Lake flow is backed by a highly profitable 77% winner, a 126x volume spike, and a major price breakout toward Yes.
- A bettor who wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $1.25M lifetime sold No, effectively backing Yes.
- Three wallets put $7.2K on the same Yes direction as the market jumped about 46 points in 24 hours.
- Volume spiked 126x versus normal activity, suggesting unusually strong pre-game conviction.
$7,231 on Yes
85% serial event bettor
Surfaced because this is a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win record and positive lifetime P&L, despite the market moving sharply since the fill.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $66K lifetime.
- They have traded 957 markets across 713 events, with $1.15M total volume.
- The $1K No buy was entered at 78¢, showing strong conviction against Real Salt Lake winning.
$1,003 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp last-second sports bettor
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet placed a large last-second bet on No in a live sports market, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $738,696 lifetime.
- They placed $21,630 on No just 3 seconds before the scheduled resolution time.
- Entry at 71¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Real Salt Lake would not win.
$21,630 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
97% winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% historical win rate and positive P&L bought Real Salt Lake No amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63 of 65 resolved bets and is up $17.2k lifetime.
- They bought No at 71¢, backing Real Salt Lake not to win in regulation.
- Market activity spiked 117x above normal ahead of the match.
$2,130 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 51696259, $2,623 (61% win rate)
- 0xa676...a4c5 — Outcome 51696259, $1,615 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 58602024, $677
- 0x9f6b...b245 — Outcome 51696259, $232
- 0x64a8...7bc3 — Outcome 51696259, $212
- 0x76aa...eff9 — Outcome 51696259, $200 (62% win rate)
- 0xef2c...227d — Outcome 51696259, $175
- 0x0bfe...9be0 — Outcome 51696259, $131
- 0x13c9...5e53 — Outcome 51696259, $100
- 0x5df5...c44c — Outcome 51696259, $100
Related Theses
France or Spain win, not Argentina/England
Covers 4 related markets
France will defeat England
Covers 1 related market
