Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $137,343.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

5-wallet dogpile into No

Five wallets piled into No around 69¢ during a major volume spike and sharp repricing, led by at least one very strong high-volume bettor and another repeat cross-market trader.

  • Five wallets put $20.7k on No in a tight burst as market volume ran 12.4x normal
  • One wallet has a long track record: 67% wins across 5,303 resolved bets with +$722k profit
  • They bought No at 69¢, a high-conviction fade of a team now priced at 72% to win after a 39-point move

$20,724 on No

Profitable serial sports trader

A historically profitable cross-market sports trader with a 69% win rate bought No after a sharp 25-point move, adding credible informed flow despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up about $97k on $317k invested
  • They trade across 156 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought No at 69¢ after a fast 25-point move, backing the market's sharp shift with $3.3k

$3,336 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp cluster buying No

A proven high-volume sports trader with a 72% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into No during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth tracking despite the modest stake size.

  • This bettor has a strong record: 72% wins across 425 resolved markets
  • Three wallets all bought No for a combined $7.8k during a 28.9x volume spike
  • They entered at 64¢ on No, above the current 60¢ price, suggesting continued conviction despite size being modest

$2,849 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

5-wallet late-game pile-in

Five wallets piled into Real Sociedad Yes for $43k just minutes before resolution during a 46x volume spike, creating a strong late directional flow despite mixed individual track records.

  • Five wallets put $43.4k on the same side within minutes of resolution, a strong one-way signal in a live match.
  • Market volume ran 45.7x above normal, which suggests this late move was driven by fresh information rather than routine activity.
  • Most fills came at 37¢ on Yes, implying they saw a cheap live edge with roughly 2.7x payout if Real Sociedad won.

$43,416 on Yes

Late live-match buyer cluster

Three wallets piled nearly $46k into Real Sociedad Yes just 2.4 minutes before resolution during a live match, creating a strong one-sided timing signal despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets put $45.6k on Real Sociedad to win within 3 minutes of resolution.
  • The market saw an 47.8x volume spike, and this cluster alone was about 10% of 24h volume against only $20.9k liquidity.
  • One wallet is a heavy serial event trader across 60 markets, suggesting this was a deliberate live-betting read rather than random flow.

$45,615 on Yes

6-wallet fade cluster

Six wallets piled into No for over $20k during a violent price swing, including one high-volume bettor with a strong long-term record and a new wallet active across many markets.

  • Six wallets bet the same way for $20.1k total as this market whipped around hard.
  • One wallet has 5,303 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and about $722k in profit.
  • Most of the buys came around 62-69¢ on No, which is much better than the current 72¢ price on Yes.

$20,067 on No

84% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable, high-volume bettor with an 84% win rate is taking No at 62¢ in this soccer market, making it a credible copy-trade despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $1.39M lifetime across 705 markets
  • They have placed nearly $4.0M across 488 related markets, showing a repeatable event-trading edge
  • They bought No at 62¢ in a liquid market, suggesting a disciplined price rather than a panic chase

$1,336 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x50b1...f076 Yes, $319,643 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x507e...beae No, $81,482 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xf3c7...c83b No, $72,153
  4. 0x5c3a...020b No, $61,000 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x19e2...ce3c Yes, $38,568 (39% win rate)
  6. 0x204f...5e14 No, $36,023 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x9b97...5e12 No, $32,077 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea Yes, $19,534 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xf344...9a04 No, $15,798 (55% win rate)
  10. 0x2a91...c6b1 Yes, $14,717 (38% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

Resolved$137,343 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
59¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

1h ago

$20,724 on No at 69¢

69¢100¢31¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

1h ago

$3,336 on No at 69¢

69¢100¢31¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

2h ago

$2,849 on No at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

3h ago

$43,416 on Yes at 37¢

37¢0¢37¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

3h ago

$45,615 on Yes at 37¢

37¢0¢37¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

1h ago

$20,067 on No at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?

4h ago

$1,336 on No at 62¢

62¢100¢38¢

Related Theses

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26? | PolySpotter