Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This Polymarket asks whether Rory McIlroy will win the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. The market reflects live trader odds on McIlroy winning outright, and it resolves based on the official Masters winner, with resolution expected after the tournament concludes in April 2026. PolySpotter also tracks smart money activity on this market, including recent signals and notable trades.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,000.

Categories: Sports, Golf, PGA TOUR, The Masters, invitational, augusta

Notable Trades

86% winner buys longshot

A highly profitable wallet with an 86% win rate and $1.0M+ P&L is making a fresh $7k longshot bet on Rory across a broad history of event trading.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.0M lifetime
  • They've traded 304 markets across 251 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Rory at 7¢, a small longshot price that leaves room for outsized upside if their read is right

$7,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $476,020
  2. 0xfea3...d227 Yes, $153,850 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xfa21...1438 Yes, $100,000 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x9c16...09cb Yes, $50,000
  5. 0x84db...aeeb No, $40,000 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x85d7...0501 Yes, $39,488
  7. 0x5c3a...020b No, $30,000 (55% win rate)
  8. 0xdb27...c56e Yes, $28,686 (89% win rate)
  9. 0xabf7...9820 Yes, $24,271
  10. 0x49dd...2a32 No, $19,350

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Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

4d$7,000 tracked1 signalSportsGolfPGA TOURThe Mastersinvitationalaugusta
Yes
7¢
No
94¢

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
95¢
94¢
92¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2h ago

$7,000 on Yes at 7¢

7¢7¢

Related Theses

Rory McIlroy 2026 Masters Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter