Part of: Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,735.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Norway Eliteserien
Notable Trades
Three-wallet contrarian No cluster
Three wallets concentrated $15.6K into No during an extreme volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian position despite the market subsequently moving against them.
- Three wallets committed $15,635 to No at 56¢ during a 624× historical volume spike.
- Two participants are profitable over 200-plus resolved bets, though their roughly 54–55% win rates show only modest evidence of an edge.
- The market has since moved to 34¢ for No, so this position is currently underwater and should be treated as a high-risk contrarian signal.
$15,635 on No
Proven sharp buying No
A highly experienced bettor with 1,071 resolved trades and a substantial edge is taking a fresh position on No at 63%.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,071 resolved trades and is up $482,274 lifetime.
- Their results beat the average entry odds by 21 percentage points, indicating a meaningful demonstrated edge.
- The fresh $1,100 No position at 63¢ implies they view Rosenborg’s win probability as below the market’s 38% estimate.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 10741672, $5,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x0c78...77f1 — Outcome 10741672, $4,817 (79% win rate)
- 0x29b1...f737 — Outcome 10741672, $3,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x4647...aec3 — Outcome 10741672, $2,050
- 0x5e2c...b275 — Outcome 10741672, $683
- 0xe6bf...16b9 — Outcome 10741672, $500 (92% win rate)
- 0xfd4b...d965 — Outcome 10741672, $500
- 0x5fe9...5e52 — Outcome 10741672, $480 (55% win rate)
- 0xa3c2...df3d — Outcome 10741672, $474
- 0x2810...a1a8 — Outcome 10741672, $379
Related Theses
Bitcoin stays below 70K
Covers 5 related markets
Bitcoin will swing between $60K–$70K
Covers 7 related markets
Machado enters Venezuela in July
Covers 4 related markets
