Part of: Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK

Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,735.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Norway Eliteserien

Notable Trades

Three-wallet contrarian No cluster

Three wallets concentrated $15.6K into No during an extreme volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian position despite the market subsequently moving against them.

  • Three wallets committed $15,635 to No at 56¢ during a 624× historical volume spike.
  • Two participants are profitable over 200-plus resolved bets, though their roughly 54–55% win rates show only modest evidence of an edge.
  • The market has since moved to 34¢ for No, so this position is currently underwater and should be treated as a high-risk contrarian signal.

$15,635 on No

Proven sharp buying No

A highly experienced bettor with 1,071 resolved trades and a substantial edge is taking a fresh position on No at 63%.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,071 resolved trades and is up $482,274 lifetime.
  • Their results beat the average entry odds by 21 percentage points, indicating a meaningful demonstrated edge.
  • The fresh $1,100 No position at 63¢ implies they view Rosenborg’s win probability as below the market’s 38% estimate.

$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 10741672, $5,000 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x0c78...77f1 Outcome 10741672, $4,817 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x29b1...f737 Outcome 10741672, $3,000 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x4647...aec3 Outcome 10741672, $2,050
  5. 0x5e2c...b275 Outcome 10741672, $683
  6. 0xe6bf...16b9 Outcome 10741672, $500 (92% win rate)
  7. 0xfd4b...d965 Outcome 10741672, $500
  8. 0x5fe9...5e52 Outcome 10741672, $480 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 10741672, $474
  10. 0x2810...a1a8 Outcome 10741672, $379

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Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?

ResolvedRosenborg BK vs. Viking FK$16,735 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerNorway Eliteserien

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 14, 2026 If Rosenborg BK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
74¢
60¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?

9d ago

$15,635 on No at 56¢

Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14?

9d ago

$1,100 on No at 63¢

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