Part of: São Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,866.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Brazil Serie A

Notable Trades

Serial sports bettor caught move

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 832 resolved trades bought São Paulo at 69¢ just before a sharp move to 92%, suggesting timely event-driven edge.

  • This bettor has 832 resolved trades and wins 69% of the time across 113 events
  • They bought Yes at 69¢ before the market jumped to 92%, a 23-point move in minutes
  • Entry came well below the current 90¢-94¢ market, implying they spotted a fast mispricing

$997 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Serial bettor buying the dip

A high-volume serial sports trader with 832 resolved bets bought Yes after a sharp 22-point drop, suggesting a calculated dip-buy despite only moderate size.

  • This wallet has 832 resolved bets and wins 69% of the time across 112 events
  • They bought after the Yes price fell 22 points, suggesting they see the drop as overdone
  • The market is active and liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate entry, not random noise

$1,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

39-0 sharp bettor

A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 39-for-39 resolved record and $1.5M profit is buying Yes at 43¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the market itself being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor has won 39 of 39 resolved trades and is up about $1.5M
  • They have placed over $1.5M across 38 related markets and keep showing the same edge
  • Bought Yes at 43¢, a low entry that suggests they see São Paulo as meaningfully undervalued

$2,774 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 88806066, $10,624 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 88806066, $8,539 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 88806066, $5,985 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 88806066, $946 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 88806066, $436
  6. 0x1729...11af Outcome 88806066, $305
  7. 0x0ea3...71a1 Outcome 88806066, $284
  8. 0x2652...2a1d Outcome 88806066, $159
  9. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 88806066, $137
  10. 0x7edb...7993 Outcome 88806066, $109

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?

ResolvedSão Paulo FC vs. Cruzeiro EC$4,866 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerBrazil Serie A

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?

45d ago

$997 on Yes at 69¢

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?

45d ago

$1,095 on Yes at 68¢

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?

46d ago

$2,774 on Yes at 43¢

Related Theses