Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,944.

Categories: Sports, Copa Sudamericana, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Five-wallet surge into São Paulo Yes

Five wallets drove a major one-sided move into Yes, including several profitable traders, though much of the positioning is additive or position management and the price has already risen to 98%.

Five wallets concentrated $21,511 into Yes while the market jumped from roughly 68% to 98%.
Two profitable bettors with lifetime profits of $274,000 and $242,000 bought Yes between 42¢ and 60¢.
Trading volume spiked to 1,171 times its historical average, but the opportunity has largely moved past the original entries.

$21,511 on Yes

Five-wallet No cluster

Five wallets concentrated $13.4K into No amid a massive volume spike, although this trader's individual sells appear to be profit-taking from an earlier Yes position.

Five wallets are betting No with $13,389 concentrated on one side.
Trading volume was 1,171 times the historical average, alongside a rapid 15-point move in Yes pricing.
This wallet sold $7,019 of Yes after entering around 54¢, indicating profit-taking rather than a fresh standalone position.

$7,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

85% winner scaling into Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing São Paulo Yes position at 69¢.

This bettor wins 85% of 232 resolved trades and is up $41,764 lifetime.
The wallet has identified positions across 42 markets and 38 events, indicating a repeatable trading process rather than a one-off bet.
This $1,414 addition increases an existing Yes position, with the market priced at 69¢ and recent one-week momentum up 10.5%.

$1,415 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11115138, $3,419
0xa0b8...e424 — Outcome 11115138, $2,508 (94% win rate)
0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 11115138, $2,210 (58% win rate)
0x5e18...ad5b — Outcome 11115138, $1,430
0x4348...f08a — Outcome 11115138, $1,324
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11115138, $938 (65% win rate)
0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 11115138, $912 (85% win rate)
0x07dc...d577 — Outcome 11115138, $707
0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 11115138, $674 (66% win rate)
0x37c1...8de1 — Outcome 11115138, $636

Related Theses

Ghana covers low-scoring match

Covers 4 related markets

Slow start, exactly four goals

Covers 3 related markets

Cruzeiro-Flamengo stays under 2.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?

ResolvedSão Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar$29,944 tracked3 signalsSportsCopa SudamericanaGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

72¢

64¢

56¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction