Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

This Polymarket asks whether the S&P 500 (SPX) will print a regular-hours 1-minute low at or below 5,200 before the final trading close of December 2026. It resolves on Dec. 31, 2026, using Yahoo Finance 1-minute SPX data. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,131 in smart-money activity on this market, with one recent signal: a 95% winner buying No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,131.

Categories: SPX, Indicies, Finance, Monthly, S&P 500, Monthly Hit, S&P

Notable Trades

95% winner buying No

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a very strong resolved-bet record and is taking a quiet-market No position.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 378 resolved bets and is up about $4.1k lifetime.
  • The $1.1k No buy was nearly 3x the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting a confident position in a quiet market.
  • Entry at 87¢ means they are backing SPX not hitting the listed December low level.

$1,131 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6f2a...de7d — Yes, $4,611
  2. 0xe60f...f4b4 — No, $3,074 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x6c92...1322 — No, $2,469 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x08c9...a2ef — No, $2,333 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x5226...8554 — No, $1,913 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x9f08...73a8 — Yes, $1,531 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xa2a8...8466 — Yes, $1,095
  8. 0x347b...c9bc — Yes, $1,000
  9. 0xb3e0...72a6 — Yes, $1,000
  10. 0xbdcb...e811 — No, $1,000 (88% win rate)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

205dWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?$1,131 tracked1 signalSPXIndiciesHide From NewFinanceMonthlyS&P 500Monthly HitS&P
Yes
13¢
No
88¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

Price History — “No”
89¢
86¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

2h ago

$1,131 on No at 87¢

87¢→88¢↑1¢